Depressing Miami Herald front page today-Romney ++ by 5 in FL

[KaryninMiami]

HUGE front page story- Romney still ahead in FLA- big graphic- lots of details- very very upsetting way to start the day. Thank goodness for Nate Silver and Princeton and the other polls showing a different story but it is VERY discouraging. Maybe the result will mean more Dems voting today and Tuesday. Going out to make calls or canvas or do something to work off the anxiety.


A new Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll shows Mittt Romney beating President Obama 45-51 percent in Florida.

BY MARC CAPUTO [e-mail]

Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.

Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

Romney’s crossover appeal is fueled by strong support in rural North Florida, a conservative bastion where a relatively high percentage of Democrats often vote Republican in presidential election years.

“I’m pretty convinced Romney’s going to win Florida,” said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker, who conducted the 800-likely voter survey from Tuesday through Thursday.

“Will it be fivepoints? Maybe. Will it be three points? Possibly,” Coker said, of what he expects Romney’s margin will be. “I don’t think it’s going to be a recount … I don’t think we’re going to have a recount-race here.”

Romney is winning handily among men, marginally losing with women voters and has outsized support among non-Hispanic whites. He’s essentially winning on the issues as well: the economy, Medicare, foreign policy and looking out for the middle-class.

snip

Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/02/3080246/poll-mitt-romney-maintains-lead.html#storylink=cpy




http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/02/3080246/poll-mitt-romney-maintains-lead.html

[RBInMaine]

1. Mason Dixon did the poll. Nuff said. Others have it tied or Obama ahead.

[aaaaaa5a]

2. That Mason Dixon poll is getting a lot of play.

I hate it when 10 people say one thing. And 1 person says another thing. And the 1 outlier gets all of the attention because he is different. And everyone ignores the fact he is also most likely wrong.

[RBInMaine]

3. Ya but FUCK the "lot of play" and GOTV GOTV GOTV.

[Lightsource777]

6. no it only gets play if the 1 thing is good for Romney

If there is one poll showing Obama ahead in North Carolina by 6 they would ignore it and laugh it off. It doesn't work both ways with the media. It's not just about ratings. That myth needs to stop.

[smorkingapple]

4. Gotta keep the Cuban readership happy

[bigdarryl]

5. With all those African Americans voting no fucking way

Romney is six points ahead in Florida

[Lightsource777]

9. They didn't even poll Hispanics properly

and admitted to it

[LisaL]

7. Ignore it. Other polls say its much closer than that, and in some Obama is even ahead.

[demosincebirth]

8. NBC/Marist/WSJ Poll (today) has Obama up by 2 in Fla, up by six in Ohio

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/nbc-marist-wsj-obama-leads-by-6-in

[DCBob]

10. Coker/Mason-Dixon is biased or incompetent or both

Their numbers are way off other pollsters.

[Inuca]

11. Nate Silver as of yesterday

has Fl as a tossup with 55% chance of R winning vs. 45% http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/nov-2-for-romney-to-win-state-polls-must-be-statistically-biased/

[Auntie Bush]

12. What are they smoken down there?