Donald Trump will win the US presidency by a landslide against Hillary Clinton

[imagine2015]

Donald Trump will win the US presidency by a landslide – don't underestimate him yet again
Just like Obama, Trump is inspiring first-time voters to get out on polling day, while existing Republicans will hold their noses when they get to the ballot box
by Andrew MacLeod
May 27, 2016

I’d rather not have Trump in the White House. Neither would many Americans, yet it is now very likely that the Republican nominee will be the next American president – and he could win in a landslide.

Winning and losing elections in America is not about pinching votes from the other team. It is getting your team out to vote. In the US, voter turnout hasn’t exceeded 60 per cent for nearly 50 years. In 1968, 60.7 per cent of eligible voters actually managed to drag themselves out of bed and exercise a right that people had fought and died for. In 1996, less than 50 per cent bothered turning up.

Getting out your own voters is far easier, and far more important, than pinching votes from the other side. In both 2008 and 2012, Obama ran a massive “get out the vote” campaign, inspiring many first time voters with the promise of hope, change and making history by electing the first black man to the White House. Voter turnout in 2008 was the highest since 1968.

Clinton, on the other hand, does not inspire that level of emotion. The so called “woman card” that she plays is not motivating women either. In the Iowa caucus, only 14 per cent of women under 30 voted for Hillary; in New Hampshire it was around 10 per cent. Young women went for the 'old white guy' – Bernie Sanders.

Clinton will get fewer votes than Obama. Trump will get out far more first-time voters than the Republicans have ever achieved before, while regular Republican voters will hold their noses and punt for Trump.

Unless the left stop dreaming up reasons for Trump to lose, and start campaigning like he might win, the 2016 election will be the landslide for Trump.

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/donald-trump-will-win-the-us-presidency-by-a-landslide-dont-underestimate-him-yet-again-a7051686.html

[oldandhappy]

1. I dunno

One thing I am pretty sure of is that so many people are angry and frustrated that the vote numbers will be really low and that makes the corporatists happy.

I don't think Trump will use the White House. Not luxurious enough.

Polls will be different after the conventions. Trump is already going down. He has had his bump.

[Agnosticsherbet]

2. The Independent, that bastion of British Centrism, has lost its way.

Somebody throw it a rope.

[cali]

3. Oh bullshit

She starts out with enormous advantages over him, many of them structural and very difficult to overcome

[beachbumbob]

4. I'll take some that action...

I'll take Hillary and the under

[NCTraveler]

5. John McCain: the comeback kid

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/john-mccain-the-comeback-kid-889293.html

[LexVegas]

6. 7 days and a wakeup. nt