PredictWise 2016 President Electoral Map as of 06-14-2016 5:06AM

[Alfresco]

http://predictwise.com/politics/map

Most Likely Electoral Vote Outcome

Democratic
332

Republican
206

[Demsrule86]

1. Thanks...good news nt.

[Ash_F]

2. I don't know about giving Ohio to Dems this year.

Or Michigan, actually.

[Demsrule86]

3. Clinton is popular in Ohio

She will win. And Michigan has a hated governor...having a GOP in the White House would only hurt them...they will go Dem as well.

[thesquanderer]

4. Trump is popular in Ohio, too.

In the Ohio Dem primary, Hillary won with 679k votes. In the Republican primary, Trump *lost* and still got 727k votes. Ohio has open primaries, so anyone could vote for whoever they wanted, so it's not skewed simply by more people being eligible to vote in the R primary.

[RockaFowler]

7. And their Governor was in the race

The only way Drumpf can actually win Ohio is if Kasich runs with him. I doubt that will happen, though.

[thesquanderer]

8. But even though he lost to Kasich, he STILL got more votes than Hillary. Scary. (n/t)

[Demsrule86]

12. Ohio was definitely skewed.

Open primaries are not good. I hate ours. it allows the GOP to play games. Ohio will not go for Trump...wait for it...and of course, Bernie got less votes than either Trump or Clinton...so trade didn't help him...a socialist can not win Ohio.

[thesquanderer]

21. Predictwise gives Trump 1-in-3 chance of winning Ohio which is not nothing. I wouldn't call it safe.

[Ash_F]

6. Trade

TPP is not popular in the rust belt and I feel Trump will attack from that angle, as he has already.

That said, it looks like the the Republicans are really turning against him the past couple weeks, probably because of TPP. If that sticks, then Dems will be ok.

[Demsrule86]

9. She won Ohio.

And Trade cuts both ways these days..steel took a dump earlier when China was having trouble...in Ohio. Trump will not beat Hillary in Ohio...the only rust belt state he won was Michigan. Wisconsin is a different beast entirely...lived there too.

[CorkySt.Clair]

10. They're shifting into Debbie Downer mode

Everything and anything is bad for Hillary, no matter what it is.

[Demsrule86]

13. because they hate her and really want Trump to win...which is all sorts of sad.

[CorkySt.Clair]

14. Oh no doubt about it!

Sad little dead Enders they are.

[Ash_F]

15. Or maybe I am hoping Clinton will come closer to the center(her left) on the TPP issue

More Republicans voted in Ohio this year than Democrats. Was that true in 2008?

Sticking your head in the sand is sad.

[PepperHarlan]

16. Meh...she'll win Ohio

The other poster is probably a little too dismissive but I think all things being equal by the end of this his campaign will be such a monkey fuck he'll have difficulty competing. We're already seeing the beginnings of a significant financing gap between the two which is another benefiT.

Her history with the TPP (she's now opposed to it) didn't hurt her one bit in Ohio against Bernie, a candidate who should have been able to exploit a weakness if there was one. She'll have to address it again but it's unlikely to be a significant issue in a race against someone like Trump.

[Ash_F]

17. You are not wrong about his campaign

"It's a mess"

But the turnout numbers in the battleground states were disturbing this year. R's had more in most(all?) states.

That should not be ignored, regardless of who Dems are running this year.

[PepperHarlan]

19. Yeah, true, just a little early to get worried about turnout

I actually think there will be quite a bit of interest in this race which could lead to a good turnout. Time will tell.

[Ash_F]

18. PS - I do think it hurt her against Bernie

[leftynyc]

5. I think that's exactly

what Pres Obama got in 2012.

[eastwestdem]

11. I hope!! nt

[.99center]

20. If Trump continues on dropping this fast

Bernie may just run as an independent.