In your own state, are there Republican House seats with low margins?

[MineralMan]

If so, please post the state and district. We should identify all races where it is possible to flip the seat.

[TwilightZone]

1. There's a site identifying 55 that "could" flip, but it's pretty optimistic.

It's not a bad place to start as far as conversation goes, though.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/04/30/1521826/-45-districts-to-flip-in-a-Democratic-wave-election

[MineralMan]

2. Thank you! I'll head over there and have a look.

With help, maybe we can flip them all!

I see that MN-2 and MN-3 are on the list. those are the two I've been looking at in my state. I'll be doing what I can in them.

[LonePirate]

3. I'm surprised KS-3 is not on Kos' radar.

This district covers the suburban Kansas City counties in Kansas. Dems held the seat for several years prior to 2010 when the Dem retired and a Repub (Yoder) won due to the rout that year. He ran unopposed in 2014. There is an intense anti-Republican backlash in the state due to Brownback's economic destruction of the state. Granted, Yoder could distance himself from that mess.

Roughly 90% of the district is comprised of two counties: Johnson and Wyandotte. Johnson is about 550,000 and it is very similar to mostly white, upscale suburban counties around Atlanta, Chicago, Philadelphia, etc. Wyandotte is about 150,000 and it is the most Democratic county in the state due to its large minority population. Wyandotte will vote blue in November by 15 or more points. Clinton could potentially carry Johnson if she were to make a campaign stop in the county (it is Kansas City, after all). Obama captured 44% of the vote in the district n 2012 and Clinton will improve on that against Trump. The problem for Dems will be finding a candidate.

[MineralMan]

5. Is there a Democratic challenger already?

If not, it's probably too late.

[LonePirate]

6. There are three Dems on the August primary ballot.

http://www.reggieforcongress.com

http://www.nmclaughlinforcongress.com

http://www.jay4congress.com

There is also a Libertarian candidate this year which might help split some of the Repub vote.

[MineralMan]

7. Cool. I'll have to leave the choice up to the voters there.

I hope they choose a winner!

[LonePirate]

8. All three Dems have name recognition issues but anti-Trump & Brownback fervor will help.

The seat will likely remain in Repub hands; but it is a possible Dem pick-up if there is a mild wave. It will definitely flip if there is a massive Dem wave, which might even sweep up neighboring KS-2 where Topeka and Lawrence (KU) are (which sent a Dem to Congress in the 2006 elections).

[Tarc]

4. NH-01 is certainly in play

Carol Shea-Porter needs to hold on to that damn seat, she and Frank Guinta have see-sawed there since 2011.

[KK9]

13. Yes, NH-01!!

I'm in Mass, a few miles south of the NH border. Since MA is pretty solid D, I've been expending my energy over the border. Two hot races there Ayotte/Hassan for Senate and Guinta/Shea-Porter for Congressional First District. Guinta actually holds that Congressional seat now! They have been trading back and forth, it's one of the most competitive districts in the US.

[herding cats]

9. I can do you better than just what's in my own state.

I offer you The Cook Political Report.

It's an independent, non-partisan, practical analysis of all the current races from solid red/blue to possible flips. They update as things change.

I find it useful, I hope others here do as well.

[MineralMan]

10. Thanks for the link!

[herding cats]

11. You're more than welcome.

Please, share where applicable and encourage people in even the "leaning" blue districts to GOTV.

[Maru Kitteh]

12. Building a database of reasonable targets would be a great idea

Or, does someone know of where one may already exist?

[Greywing]

14. Colorado

CD-6 - Mike Coffman (R) is incumbent and really needs to go. Get out the vote for Morgan Carroll (D) ... Right now this race is a toss-up

CD-3 - there may be some hope in this race. Gail Schwartz is a popular Dem in the state and her poll numbers are beginning to rise. I really hope she can defeat the incumbent Republican.

Unfortunately I can't vote in either one of those races since I live in Denver where Diana DeGette never loses

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. I am in L A

What's a Republican?

[CaliforniaPeggy]

16. Ya beat me to it!

[DemocraticWing]

17. There's a strong candidate running in KY-6

Andy Barr was only elected by a slim margin in 2012, so it can swing back