Poll: Hillary 10 points closer in Arkansas than Obama in 2012

[ericson00]

In 2012, polls had Obama down in Arkansas by 20ish points, and he ultimately lost by such an amount there.

Today, Hillary is closing the gap to half of what Obama was down there by.

36% Hillary Clinton
47% Donald Trump
8% Gary Johnson
9% Don’t Know

It will be a tough climb, given Obama having a 60% job disapproval rating there, according to that poll, but if Hillary can put it in play and win it for the first time since her husband won it in 1996 (He beat Dole 54-37 in 1996, and beat Bush 53-35 in 1992). If she wins it, it will probably be by the smallest of margins, but a win is a win. Without Arkansas, Trump is a big time goner. Even with it, if he has to campaign there, he's still a goner.

[WhiteTara]

1. We'll see how the BoBs break in this state

if they pull for her, it might be possible.

[democrattotheend]

3. How many Bernie supporters were there in Arkansas?

I thought she clobbered him there?

[democrattotheend]

2. That's not surprising

Obama never had a chance in Arkansas. Hillary is a better fit there, especially because of her connection to the state.

[eastwestdem]

4. That would be sweet. nt

[CobaltBlue]

5. 2012 Arkansas was R+23.69

You can call it +24 as carried in 2012 by Mitt Romney.

For Donald Trump to win a 2016 Republican pickup of the presidency, he should be carrying Arkansas closer to 2-to-1 (33 percentage points).