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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium has just put chances of a Dem House above 50%
because they think the generic "which party will you vote for in the Congressional election" question now has Dems leading by over 5%:
http://election.princeton.edu/house-polling-margin/
All kinds of things may change, of course, but I wonder if Trump's anti-coattails (Trump's concrete overshoes, perhaps?) are kicking in.
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Sam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium has just put chances of a Dem House above 50% (Original Post)
muriel_volestrangler
Jul 2016
OP
Gothmog
(145,191 posts)1. WOW
Sam Wang is good at his job and I hope that he is right
BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)2. Wouldn't that be absolutely
loverly?
brooklynite
(94,535 posts)3. Unfortunately, people never vote for "generic" candidates.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,312 posts)4. But it shows the possibility is real
The threshold of about 4.5% has been broken.
Maru Kitteh
(28,340 posts)5. Trump's concrete wingtip shoes
Yes indeed.
Great news! Thanks for the post!