Prediction markets saying Kaine and Pence most likely VP choices.

[DanTex]

Both of them are around 50%.
Dems:

Tim Kaine 53 % $ 0.440 $ 0.617
Tom Perez 14 % $ 0.160 $ 0.124
Elizabeth Warren 15 % $ 0.145 $ 0.153
Sherrod Brown 8 % $ 0.080
Cory Booker 5 % $ 0.055 $ 0.037
Julian Castro 9 % $ 0.045 $ 0.135
Bernie Sanders 4 % $ 0.045 $ 0.036
Al Franken 2 % $ 0.015 $ 0.019
Martin OMalley 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.020
Deval Patrick 1 %

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-republican-vice-president-nomination
GOP:

Mike Pence 47 % $ 0.455 $ 0.492 $ 0.450 $ 0.460 1.80 2.34
Newt Gingrich 20 % $ 0.260 $ 0.133 $ 0.250 $ 0.270 5.60 11.50
Chris Christie 12 % $ 0.130 $ 0.104 $ 0.120 $ 0.140 8.00 12.00
Jeff Sessions 7 % $ 0.075 $ 0.061 $ 0.070 $ 0.080 4.00 19.00
Michael Flynn 5 % $ 0.060 $ 0.042 $ 0.050 $ 0.070 20.00 0.00
John Kasich 5 % $ 0.025 $ 0.077 $ 0.020 $ 0.030 10.00 18.50
Scott Brown 2 % $ 0.025 $ 0.014 $ 0.020 $ 0.030 46.00 170.00
Nikki Haley 1 % $ 0.015 $ 0.006 $ 0.010 $ 0.020 100.00 1,000.00
Susana Martinez 2 % $ 0.015 $ 0.028 $ 0.010 $ 0.020 18.50 380.00
Joni Ernst 1 % $ 0.015 $ 0.005 $ 0.010 $ 0.020 130.00 390.00
Ted Cruz 1 % $ 0.015 $ 0.006 $ 0.010 $ 0.020 100.00 990.00
Marsha Blackburn 1 % $ 0.015 $ 0.010 $ 0.020
Rick Santorum 1 % $ 0.015 $ 0.010 $ 0.020
John Thune 1 % $ 0.015 $ 0.010 $ 0.020
Marco Rubio 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.011 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 48.00 1,000.00
Mike Huckabee 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.012 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 44.00 990.00
Scott Walker 0 % $ 0.005 $ 0.002 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 280.00 0.00
Carly Fiorina 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.007 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 75.00 0.00
Rob Portman 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.005 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 100.00 0.00
Condi Rice 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.006 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 100.00 1,000.00
Bob Corker 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.006 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 100.00 590.00
Mary Fallin 0 % $ 0.005 $ 0.003 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 200.00 990.00
Tom Cotton 1 % $ 0.005 $ 0.013 $ 0.000 $ 0.010 44.00 0.00
Rand Paul 0 % $ 0.005 $ 0.000 $ 0.010
Rudy Giuliani 0 % $ 0.005 $ 0.000 $ 0.010

http://predictwise.com/blog/2016-president-democratic-vice-president-nomination

Apologies for the bad formatting.

[Squinch]

1. Kaine would be a terrible disappointment.

[morningfog]

15. Yes he would. It would be a squandered opportunity to generate excitement

and pick an interesting and capable running mate.

[democrattotheend]

38. I like Tim Kaine

But I would much rather have Elizabeth Warren.

[NorthCarolina]

2. Both are certainly acceptable to Wall St., so probably. -nt-

[Metric System]

3. I'm glad I'm excited by Hillary because Kaine does not do it for me at all.

[underpants]

4. Kaine is a really good choice.

I'd hate to lose him as our Senator though.

[FSogol]

6. Yeah, but McAuliffe will pick either Gerry Connolly or Don Beyer as the replacement.

So win-win.

[Doctor Jack]

5. I just don't know what Kaine brings to the ticket

Sure, he's been in elected office for awhile but he has little charisma, little appeal, and is mostly unknown to people outside of Virginia. I can see why Clinton wants to play it safe and appear to be the stable candidate, while Trump looks like a screaming hippo with explosive diarrhea. However, there is a difference between going with a safe candidate and going with someone that is extremely dull.

[DanTex]

7. I don't know much about him, he seems like the "default" choice.

In ruthlessly political terms, I think the inclination to choose a Latino is somewhat lessened by the fact that Trump has already offended the entire Latino community. Warren would mean two women on the ticket, which might be too much for men with latent sexist tendencies. So who's left? A boring white guy from a swing state.

[Doctor Jack]

8. Sad but true

I think there are much better white guys that she could pick though, if she wants to go that route. I just hope that if they go with Kaine that they have reason to believe he is a better candidate than we give him credit for.

[Warren DeMontague]

9. Anyone who won't vote for two women won't vote for one, either.

I think Warren would do enough to unify the disparate wings of the party and enthuse voters- plus she's proven she can kick ass and take names- that it would make up both for the loss of the Senate seat and any freakouts over "two women".

[DanTex]

10. Maybe. But also maybe, people who are crazy enough to sit out the election

because Hillary isn't socialist enough aren't going to vote for her even with Warren on the ticket. If you doubt that, see what some such people have been saying about Warren on some other websites/youtube since she started campaigning for Hillary. On the other hand, I don't really know how irrational or sexist people vote, so maybe those things actually can happen.

I'd be happy with Warren, my only real concern is losing the Senate seat. Politically, it would help with the liberal base but might hurt with trying to pull centrists and moderate Republican cross-overs.

[Warren DeMontague]

14. I'd love to see her debate Gingrinch or Christie or Pirates of Penzance or whatever his name is.

That's part of it.

I don't really pay attention to other websites or youtube. You know, there's only one of me, I barely have time for this place.

[DanTex]

22. LOL. Pirates of Penzance.

If you need more time for looking at websites, take some time off work and get on the David Brock payroll. Tell him I sent you...

[Warren DeMontague]

32. I will not make socks for pay or play. I will not make socks for tricks, or brocks

I will not play sock games with tricky brock names.
I will not play brock games with tricky sock names!

[underpants]

11. Remember that he was the DNC Chairman at one point

That brings extensive contacts deep into the volunteer infrastructure and fund raising.

[Bluenorthwest]

19. By 'at one point' you mean during years in whic we suffered massive losses and shrinking

turnout. Just to be clear. He was a terrible Chair of the Party.

[morningfog]

16. Trump's bigotry does not discount the importance, or perhaps

urgency, of a Latino on the ticket. It fact, to me, it almost requires it. As a way to say, no, that is not who we are. Xavier Beccera for VEEP.

[Lord Magus]

30. Beccera's downside is that nobody other than political junkies have ever heard of him.

His upside is that when they do hear of him they'll like what they see. And besides, it's not like Tim Kaine has a national profile either.

[Chan790]

20. A boring white guy from a swing state.

He's also to the right of Hillary, a bad debater and comes across as dull in the noggin. I'm not sure what he brings to the ticket.

He's not exciting, he's not charismatic or a great campaigner, he's not an attack dog that allows HRC to remain above the fray (and she's at her best in the fray), he doesn't have any grand ideas or issues that his nomination conveys, he's not "the guy you want in case he needs to step up, god forbid", he's not a Democrat likely to move his home state. (That would be the other VA Senator. Honestly, Kaine seems to just have a lot of luck of being the Democrat on the ballot when the GOP goes crazy and nominates the unelectable.), his term as DNC chair was poor and only looks good in retrospect because DWS who followed him is epically-bad at the job.

We can do better. We should do better because there's a solid chance this is our 2024 nominee, whoever Hillary picks.

[geek tragedy]

12. he doesn't have any glaring weaknesses, politically speaking anyways

he was antichoice a decade ago, but of course has 'evolved' on the issue as he's become a national politician, and as VA has gotten bluer and bluer

[morningfog]

17. But does he have any glaring strengths?

There is a better way.

[geek tragedy]

23. My preference is Warren.nt

[morningfog]

24. I love Warren, but Charlie Baker would choose her replacement.

[geek tragedy]

28. Hence the prominence of Kaine as a VP possibility.

Massachusetts and NJ have R governors, VA has a Democrat. Politics is weird.

[dsc]

13. like it or not she doesn't have a ton of choices

thanks to our dismal performance in 2014 governor races. Warren, Brown, Booker to name three are eliminated thanks to GOP governors.

[Bluenorthwest]

18. Kaine would be asking a lot of LGBT voters. Hillary should not ask that.

He's a giant, leaping bigot. His sort of politician should be allowed to fade away and radiate.

[jcgoldie]

25. I hope its Warren not Kaine but...

whats their other option?

[misterhighwasted]

21. Perez please!

He's smart, doesn't mince words & its impossible to lead the conversation away from his main point.

He's nobody's fool.
Please choose Perez

[hollowdweller]

31. Great article on Perez

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/clintons-new-friend-and-maybe-vp-225347


I'd love to see him whispering in Hillary's ear.

[misterhighwasted]

34. Of any VP's publicly listed, Perez is my choice

Great article. Yes.

[Exilednight]

35. The problem is nobody outside fervent followers of

The Democratic Party knows who he is, not even in Texas.

I think it will be Kaine. Yes he's dull but he at least has a slight name recognition on the national stage and a big one in VA.

[misterhighwasted]

36. They'll get to know Perez as soon as his name is in the news.

There's not much baggage with him, for the GOP to drag up. No old conflicts within the Dem Party in his history.

Who knows.
Maybe Hillary has someone else who's name she's keeping quiet.
Playing her cards close to the vest is something she does for necessary reasons. Especially when playing a high stakes game against the corrupt cheaters of the GOP.

We can only guess until she officially makes her choice known.
Enjoy your day.

[mblock]

26. kaine!!!

😴😴😴😴😴😴😴😴💤💤💤💤

[misterhighwasted]

37. LOL..

zzzzzz

[StevieM]

27. They didn't even list the guy who I am thinking she will pick: Tom Vilsack

[Separation]

29. Gonna go for the long shot Vegas odds on this one for Trimp

Im gonna have to pick General Michael Flynn. I think that he is going to need to pick somebody that shows the public that he has somebody with military experience.

Heard it here first.

For Clinton, Im gonna have to go with Tom Perez. nothing concrete, just a hunch.

[highprincipleswork]

33. I really, really, really, really, really, really hope it's not Kaine. I'll be even less enthusiastic