2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTrump's Odds in the Betting Markets Fall Following Speech
Down nearly 3 points, from just under 30% to 27% and still sliding. Clinton is up by about 2.5 points, from 69% to 71.4%
Poor Donald, going on nationally televised racist rants is soooo hard
glennward
(989 posts)Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Which must really bug them because they hate minorities
fleabiscuit
(4,542 posts)C_U_L8R
(45,002 posts)Just curious.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)The_Casual_Observer
(27,742 posts)Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)and they are all smarter than Trump
brettdale
(12,381 posts)The ipredict market in New Zealand, has Trump flatlining at only
27% chance of winning the general election.
The global betting sites have him dropping all in the mid 20% range.
hahahaha.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Trump botched his big moment. A solid dem convention will end this thing right here and now. It will be all over except the voting.
calimary
(81,238 posts)I'm kinda worried, but hell, I'm ALWAYS kinda worried.
I'm sure he solidified his base of berzerkoids, paranoiacs, and other assorted low-info voters. He threw them all kinds of their favorite red meat and plenty more validation - just the way they like it. And today's the one day all week where they didn't have a calamity or two or three to drown it out, or bigfoot it the way ted cruz crapped all over yesterday's lackluster mike pence debut. They're probably all fired up now, unfortunately. Hopefully the polls will reflect what the betting markets suggest instead of my own pessimism. I'm expecting the CONS to get a bump in the polls from tonight's finale, particularly considering Ivanka's impressive presentation (look out for her, somewhere in the future. She'll be recruited for more. I think they all looked at her and thought "a star is born" . I hope to be way wrong this time.
GLAD that next week, WE get the last word. And we'll have four days to correct the record, AND outshine them, with our team of experienced and seasoned adults and professionals - who don't fuck it up the way Trump's bunch did most of the week. And our all-star lineup will help remind people what the reality is, rather than the screwy spin and the lies and the fairy tales that the CONS tried to sell all this week.
fleabiscuit
(4,542 posts)MFM008
(19,808 posts)They had her 70% to 30% tonight. Maybe same one.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Took a long time for them to adjust. I wouldn't get complacent.
writes3000
(4,734 posts)joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Not saying I disagree about the markets in general (Brexit comes to mind) but Trump hasn't been that controversial. He was well ahead going in to Iowa, but his loss there caused a dip in the markets, after NH, however, he had a steady and insurmountable lead.
RAFisher
(466 posts)After polls closed in the UK the betting market had Remain with 85%. However Opinion polls showed the Brexit vote was very close. One released the day before the election showed Brexit winning
Midnight Writer
(21,753 posts)busterbrown
(8,515 posts)Casinos set the odds.. So they better be and are correct most of the time..