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Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 12:44 AM Jul 2016

Trump's Odds in the Betting Markets Fall Following Speech

Down nearly 3 points, from just under 30% to 27% and still sliding. Clinton is up by about 2.5 points, from 69% to 71.4%

Poor Donald, going on nationally televised racist rants is soooo hard

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Trump's Odds in the Betting Markets Fall Following Speech (Original Post) Doctor Jack Jul 2016 OP
gamblers don't like negativety. nt glennward Jul 2016 #1
People that love the speech seem to be in a small minority Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #2
LOL fleabiscuit Jul 2016 #10
What sites are you looking at? C_U_L8R Jul 2016 #3
The same one Nate Silver uses Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #4
Trump is a fucking moron. The_Casual_Observer Jul 2016 #5
I know lots of morons Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #6
Ipredict markets brettdale Jul 2016 #7
Time to wrap this election up and bring home a victory Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #8
Really? That's a hopeful sign. calimary Jul 2016 #9
PredictWise also has HRC up 70 percent to 30 for nutbag. nt fleabiscuit Jul 2016 #11
Is that the Irish one? MFM008 Jul 2016 #13
Betting markets have been wrong on Trump since day one oberliner Jul 2016 #12
Who's getting complacent? writes3000 Jul 2016 #15
Trump was ahead in the odds since NH. joshcryer Jul 2016 #17
Polling is much more accurate than archaic betting markets RAFisher Jul 2016 #14
If bettors were usually right, casinos would not exist. Midnight Writer Jul 2016 #16
not sure what your point is.. busterbrown Jul 2016 #18

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
2. People that love the speech seem to be in a small minority
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 12:46 AM
Jul 2016

Which must really bug them because they hate minorities

brettdale

(12,381 posts)
7. Ipredict markets
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 12:54 AM
Jul 2016

The ipredict market in New Zealand, has Trump flatlining at only
27% chance of winning the general election.

The global betting sites have him dropping all in the mid 20% range.


hahahaha.

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
8. Time to wrap this election up and bring home a victory
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 12:57 AM
Jul 2016

Trump botched his big moment. A solid dem convention will end this thing right here and now. It will be all over except the voting.

calimary

(81,238 posts)
9. Really? That's a hopeful sign.
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 01:00 AM
Jul 2016

I'm kinda worried, but hell, I'm ALWAYS kinda worried.

I'm sure he solidified his base of berzerkoids, paranoiacs, and other assorted low-info voters. He threw them all kinds of their favorite red meat and plenty more validation - just the way they like it. And today's the one day all week where they didn't have a calamity or two or three to drown it out, or bigfoot it the way ted cruz crapped all over yesterday's lackluster mike pence debut. They're probably all fired up now, unfortunately. Hopefully the polls will reflect what the betting markets suggest instead of my own pessimism. I'm expecting the CONS to get a bump in the polls from tonight's finale, particularly considering Ivanka's impressive presentation (look out for her, somewhere in the future. She'll be recruited for more. I think they all looked at her and thought "a star is born&quot . I hope to be way wrong this time.

GLAD that next week, WE get the last word. And we'll have four days to correct the record, AND outshine them, with our team of experienced and seasoned adults and professionals - who don't fuck it up the way Trump's bunch did most of the week. And our all-star lineup will help remind people what the reality is, rather than the screwy spin and the lies and the fairy tales that the CONS tried to sell all this week.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
12. Betting markets have been wrong on Trump since day one
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 01:26 AM
Jul 2016

Took a long time for them to adjust. I wouldn't get complacent.

joshcryer

(62,270 posts)
17. Trump was ahead in the odds since NH.
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 03:14 AM
Jul 2016

Not saying I disagree about the markets in general (Brexit comes to mind) but Trump hasn't been that controversial. He was well ahead going in to Iowa, but his loss there caused a dip in the markets, after NH, however, he had a steady and insurmountable lead.

RAFisher

(466 posts)
14. Polling is much more accurate than archaic betting markets
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 02:39 AM
Jul 2016

After polls closed in the UK the betting market had Remain with 85%. However Opinion polls showed the Brexit vote was very close. One released the day before the election showed Brexit winning

busterbrown

(8,515 posts)
18. not sure what your point is..
Fri Jul 22, 2016, 03:50 AM
Jul 2016

Casinos set the odds.. So they better be and are correct most of the time..

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