With Kaine as VP pick Crystal Ball moves Virginia Electoral College rating from....

[Joe the Revelator]

leans D to Likely D.

https://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/756644963912417280

[bigwillq]

1. Good news (nt)

[tallahasseedem]

2. Our electoral strategy...

will be great with VA in our column.

[Thrill]

3. Are there any good candidates to run for his seat?

Would hate to see Allen or that weasel Cantor run and get it

[Arkana]

7. Hm. Probably Northam, the current Lt. Governor?

[Skoods]

9. Terry McAuliffe

Terry McAuliffe has long been expected to run for the seat.

[StevieM]

22. It would be a disaster if he appointed a short-term replacement and then sought the seat himself.

It is the kind of thing that voters hate.

When Mondale became VP the governor of Minnesota resigned and had the Lt. Governor appoint him to the seat. Two years later the GOP lost both Minnesota Senate seats and the governorship.

McAuliffe running for the seat wouldn't be quite as bad. But it would still be problematic IMO.

I hadn't even considered the possibility that he might do that until just now.

[Joe the Revelator]

19. Bobby Scott

Would take NOVA and Tidewater and Richmond.

[StevieM]

21. Mark Herring, the attorney general. He has won statewide elective office before. (eom)

[Expecting Rain]

4. Not good news if...

one reads the whole tweet [emphasis added]:

Smart electoral math chess move, but will it come at a cost of progressives enthusiasm and turnout ...

[Demsrule86]

5. I don't think so.

[beachbumbob]

6. Fighting fascism should help spur progressives on...

Why would any one allow trump to win when given the choice....

[Joe the Revelator]

8. That's Larry Sabato...Sabatoing.

His picks are normally on point, his reasoning is less so since he started getting national attention. he just parrots talking points. He's still smart though.

[Cosmocat]

23. Honestly

I think he more and more over time leans progressive ...

[Joe the Revelator]

24. I agree...he just loves to also play the contrarian in his long form stuff

[Skoods]

10. HAHAHA

Yeah, you're right. People aren't going to vote because of who the VP nominee is. They'll just say screw it. Let Trump win because Tim Kaine is on the ticket. PUHLEASE

[Lil Missy]

12. If it's the smart math chess, then the cost is worth it. n/t

[Expecting Rain]

14. Not if the party turns off its youth...

and its progressive wing in exchange for an electoral advantage in a state that should go blue in any case.

That is not a good trade in my estimation. It is like the difference between "self-interest" and "enlighten self-interest."

[Lil Missy]

15. If they haven't already made up their minds they are not worth it anymore.

I'm not part of all this hand wringing and demanding numerous ransoms to get the votes of a few spoiled brats.

My opinion.

[tallahasseedem]

17. Ask John Kerry how counting on the youth vote

helped him in 2004.

[Revanchist]

11. Am I the only one who thought you were refering to

Krystal Ball when they read the headline?

[Expecting Rain]

13. There is a difference between "voting" and getting...

out there organizing, fundraising, and volunteering in the campaign and get out the vote efforts with enthusiasm.

Those who think this selection won't have a high-cost are kidding themselves. It is unfortunate as this is an election we Democrats can afford to lose.

[tallahasseedem]

18. I smell pine...

maybe even pizza.

[Expecting Rain]

20. Typo

Insults via innuendo are still insults and completely misplaced.

Not cool.