Good news from Nate Silver

[Suburban Warrior]

10 point bounce for HRC after DNC

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538

[tallahasseedem]

1. I think it's still too early,

but all good news is certainly welcome!

[rjsquirrel]

2. He's just talking about the one Reuters/Ipsos poll

not his own forecast.

That poll has been widely discussed on DU since yesterday. It's one poll and it changed its sanpling method since its last version so it doesn't reliably show any trend.

It will still be several days before we nnwnof she has a durable bounce out in multiple polls. Don't ever take any one poll as proof of anything.

[woolldog]

4. He's talking about the new rabaresearch poll

That show HRC with a big bounce. Raba research is rated a B- by 538. So it's decent.

[rjsquirrel]

5. Oh right

And they are not a highly rated pollster.

Anyway, the point stands. NO one poll is evidence of a bounce.

[woolldog]

7. Sure it's evidence of a bounce

It's the first poll that was conducted entirely post DNC. It's not conclusive evidence of a bounce but it suggests we can expect more good polls to follow showing a bounce.

[Stallion]

8. RABA is Rated B- by 538-Better than Rasmussen at C+

nm

[Suburban Warrior]

3. Then there's this:

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/us-president-2016

[workinclasszero]

6. Woohoo!

GO Hillary/Kaine!!!