2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN New Poll: Hillary Clinton leads by 9
Hillary Clinton 52
Donald Trump 43
Before Democratic Convention
Hillary Clinton 45
Donald Trump 48
CNN/OR Poll
July 29th-31st.
Clinton Voters:
58% are voting to support Clinton
41% are voting against Trump
Trump Voters:
47% are voting to support Trump
50% are voting against Clinton
Clinton:
Right Experience 67%
In touch with ordinary people 50%
Unite the country 48%
Honest and trustworthy 34%
35% of people think Trump is honest and trustworthy
Is Clinton honest?
Pre GOP Convention 34%
After GOP Convention 30%
Post Dem Convention 34%
Will Clinton's policies move USA in right direction?
48% yes
Will Trump's policies move USA in right direction?
38% yes
http://fox6now.com/2016/08/01/post-convention-poll-hillary-clinton-retakes-lead-over-donald-trump/
senseandsensibility
(17,114 posts)and it was worth the wait!
politicaljunkie41910
(3,335 posts)are always very close to Hillary's numbers but the media never mentions this point. Even on MSNBC, every time they mention this fact about Hillary, they fail to mention that his are the same or only slightly less. The fact that Mika sits there and lets this shit go right over people's heads without saying anything about his, after all her Know Your Value - Women's seminars, makes me despise her as well.
Also, hers are low after decades of investigations, lies, NewsMax books, etc. Trump is dishonest about everything. He'd lie if you asked him what day it is.
wallyworld2
(375 posts)This is huge and totally unexpected
Donald Trump Claims The General Election 'Is Gonna Be Rigged'
http://crooksandliars.com/2016/08/donald-trump-claims-general-election-gonna
Chemisse
(30,816 posts)Moostache
(9,897 posts)I'll take it, it's definitely good news and the Trumpster Fire is in full blown inferno, still...GOTV is the key. No matter what the Talking Yam and his supporters do, say or try...if enough registered and leaning Democratic voters show up in November, Trump will lose.
The only way he can win is via massive voter ennui or suppression.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Showed an unusually large dip for her, showing a 10 point drop. It's likely this bump is a bit exaggerated because the previous poll was a outlier. It looks like her bump will average out to 5-6 points, maybe a bit better.
oswaldactedalone
(3,491 posts)and the convention was so stellar, I thought it could hit 15. Still might as more people revile Don the Con's antics. Whiskey tango foxtrot were these clowns thinking voting for him. Still, the alternatives may have been just as bad and equally or more difficult to beat.
mcar
(42,372 posts)JCanete
(5,272 posts)are ultimately going to go for the less scary candidate. Trump is going to scare the shit out of people who are fine with him being an asshole and a bigot, but not fine with him floundering in the debates or interviews, looking weak, crazy and not capable of faking competence by even their low standards.
Trump is definitely the ideal candidate for Hillary to be facing.
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)writes3000
(4,734 posts)democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)This is the bounce we've been waiting for!
I think Trump will outperform polls because people are embarrassed to admit they are voting for him (this happened with Reagan in 1980), so I am not happy unless/until Hillary is up by at least 7 points and above 50%.
If these numbers hold I will be very happy.
politicaljunkie41910
(3,335 posts)They ask you who you plan to vote for, and some ask who you voted to in the last election. Why would anyone be embarrassed about who they are voting for? It's not like they are going to call up your neighbor and tell them, You're voting for Trump.
thucythucy
(8,086 posts)politicaljunkie41910
(3,335 posts)Johnny2X2X
(19,107 posts)These are massive numbers and they don't even include the Khan fall out. A route is coming in November. And get ready for Trump to start acting out worse.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)Schmidt(R), who said that if Clinton didn't receive a bounce after the convention, she was in deep trouble, but if she retook to the lead, it would last clear up till election day, and that Trump would be toast.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)He said the Democratic Convention was practically flawless, and that was why if she didn't get a bounce it signaled trouble.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)writes3000
(4,734 posts)tallahasseedem
(6,716 posts)his analysis was spot on! Even I was surprised at all of the praise he had for the convention.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)our convention, has had nothing but praise.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Old Terp
(464 posts)Their numbers that were looking good should look even better. That's a bouncy castle.
sheshe2
(83,860 posts)GOTV 2016!
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)Trustworthy? Really? All he does is LIE..LIE...LIE!!!! I will take the numbers though! 😁
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)Buckeye_Democrat
(14,856 posts)katsy
(4,246 posts)Keep all her promises and she and Obama will forever be known as the most honest and greatest presidents.
GOTV to give her the senate and equalize maybe the house.
Stick to every campaign promise. Simple.
kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)The only numbers that matter are the state-by-state numbers. It's ALL about the stupid electoral college.
treestar
(82,383 posts)People are starting to wake up.
Bill USA
(6,436 posts)MFM008
(19,818 posts)Or Quinnipiac
............