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nixonwasbetterthanW

(1,317 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:18 PM Nov 2012

Obama didn't need VA, OH or FL


He'd have gotten 272 EVs without those three states. No nail biters outside those three -- he won them all by at least four points (NH and CO were the closest besides "Flohva&quot .

That fact alone dramatically reinforces the (derided-by-right-wingers) notion that this was a walloping.
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Obama didn't need VA, OH or FL (Original Post) nixonwasbetterthanW Nov 2012 OP
The fact that a Western Pathway to 270 is starting to look solid is great. Mayberry Machiavelli Nov 2012 #1
growing ... nixonwasbetterthanW Nov 2012 #5
Yep I noticed the same thing Proud liberal 80 Nov 2012 #2
Me too mzteaze Nov 2012 #4
He wouldn't have conceded if this was up to OH. LisaL Nov 2012 #9
Thank goodness too--Ohio has hundreds of thousands of ballots out and Florida may do a recount. geek tragedy Nov 2012 #3
It wasn't until I read your post about Pres Obama winning without Florida or Ohio... nenagh Nov 2012 #6
What is FL cooking over there? LisaL Nov 2012 #10
VA no longer competitive? nixonwasbetterthanW Nov 2012 #7
Good. Because FL is still counting, and OH has a whole bunch of provisional ballots. LisaL Nov 2012 #8

Mayberry Machiavelli

(21,096 posts)
1. The fact that a Western Pathway to 270 is starting to look solid is great.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:22 PM
Nov 2012

NM NV and CO, with IA and NH. It means it's not actually essential to win VA, FL or OH, but to be competitive in any or all of those is a huge bonus, especially with what looks like NC's new status as a true swing state.

Not as easy to get screwed out of an election by one corrupt SoS in FL or OH.

nixonwasbetterthanW

(1,317 posts)
5. growing ...
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:43 PM
Nov 2012

Even better is that the Western states you name are all still outpacing the national average in population growth. What has hampered Democrats for the past four decades is the drop in EV strength in traditionally Blue areas like NY, PA and MI ... suddenly Blue is competitive in states that are expanding their population relative to the nation at large. Add the fact that the Left Coast is now virtually out of reach for the Reds and it's virtually inconceivable the GOP will ever win again.

mzteaze

(448 posts)
4. Me too
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:35 PM
Nov 2012

I kept talking to my tv.....stall all you want Robme but CO and NV were called for Obama. Recounting OH was not necessary. You lost plain and simple.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
9. He wouldn't have conceded if this was up to OH.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:06 PM
Nov 2012

It still has a huge number of provisional ballots they won't even start counting until Nov 17.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
3. Thank goodness too--Ohio has hundreds of thousands of ballots out and Florida may do a recount.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:34 PM
Nov 2012

Romney would not have conceded last night but for CO and VA.

nenagh

(1,925 posts)
6. It wasn't until I read your post about Pres Obama winning without Florida or Ohio...
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:49 PM
Nov 2012

A litigation free win... all those voters and everyone who endured standing in long lines to vote.

nixonwasbetterthanW

(1,317 posts)
7. VA no longer competitive?
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:03 PM
Nov 2012


It's a stretch, I realize, but I think Virginia may be approaching out-of-reach stage for the Red team. NoVa continues to grow, and especially in the inner suburbs, the intensity of Blue is nearing that of the MD suburbs as well as DC itself. In a fight-the-previous-war strategy, I can see the GOP dumping hundreds of millions in the Old Dominion again and coming up short. You can't win if you try to battle demographics.

Remember that CA went from Red to Blue in one election cycle (1988 to 1992). It's not inconceivable that VA is moving that way.

The Blue is dripping southward down the map from the Northeast and sticking. Next stop, NC.

On the other hand, the non-Atlantic Deep South, Appalachia and the lower Midwest (LA, MS, AL, TN, KY, WV, AR, MO) seem determined to paint themselves Red forever.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
8. Good. Because FL is still counting, and OH has a whole bunch of provisional ballots.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:05 PM
Nov 2012

No way would Mitt concede if it was up to OH only.

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