2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum538's nowcast at 92.9%! even has hillary winning arizona and georgia!
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#nowmore meaningfully, polls-plus has hillary at 75.4%!
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus
i'm sure this will narrow by november, but i'm certainly enjoying it for now!
ffr
(22,670 posts)to stay vigilant. There's no victory until we've voted and gotten others to the polls to do the same. We need every vote possible cast for every democratic candidate there is. It's critical we elect people we like to represent our best interests.
ffr
(22,670 posts)Grrrr.
I think we need some NM influence over in Texas, helping drive the voter registration and GOTV efforts there.
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)Last edited Fri Aug 5, 2016, 03:38 PM - Edit history (1)
I noted this in another thread addressing this topic.
Pickups from not only North Carolina but also Georgia and Arizonaplus Nebraska #02would take Barack Obamas 2012 re-election, electoral-vote score of 332 to 375 for a 2016 Hillary Clinton.
It could grow further. In 2012, Missouri and Indiana closely followed Arizona for Mitt Romneys states margins. They appear, on this date (08.05.2016), to be underestimated.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)Brother Buzz
(36,444 posts)Patience, Grasshopper.