Aug 5: Hillary Clinton has an 80% chance of winning the presidency.
I wish the election was tomorrow!!
Who Will Be President?
By JOSH KATZ
Hillary Clinton has an 80% chance of winning the presidency.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?smid=tw-upshotnyt&smtyp=cur&_r=0
Last updated Friday, August 5 at 6:37 PM ET
Chance of winning
80%
Hillary Clinton
20%
Donald J. Trump
Forecast history ↘ State by state ↘ Other forecasts ↘ Likely scenarios ↘ Explore paths ↘
The Upshots elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls. A victory by Mr. Trump remains quite possible: Mrs. Clintons chance of losing is about the same as the probability that a Major League Baseball player will strike out.
From now until Election Day, well update our estimates with each new poll, as well as collect the ratings of other news organizations. You can chart different paths to victory below. Heres how our estimates have changed over time:
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Donald Trump's chances of winning hit a new low in our forecast: 20%. http://nyti.ms/2aApO51