Experts Agree: The Electoral Map Is Miserable For Donald Trump Right Now
Donald Trump's got a big problem with the electoral map. As the Republican presidential nominee barrels and blusters toward the November election, his poll numbers slipping after his attacks on a Gold Star family and amid growing dismay and defections from members of his own party, states that once looked promising for the novice candidate are falling out of his grasp.
In interviews with a dozen electoral map experts, TPM found there is an illuminating consensus that Donald Trump's path to victory is exceedingly narrow with less than three months to go until Election Day.
"If the election was held today, I would say there is no path to 270 for him," said Jennifer Lawless, the Director of the Women and Politics Institute at American University. "The stars would have to align, and he would probably have to become a different candidate."
Prior to the Republican National Convention, many strategists believed Trump would need to hold the battleground states Romney wonIndiana and North Carolinaand then add victories in Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio to get to 270. But polling indicates that Trump's deficits among women, his shrinking appeal among college-educated whites and his underwater numbers with Latino voters could sink him in the electoral map.
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