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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong"
BOULDER Back in August, University of Colorado political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry won national attention for projecting an Electoral College romp for Republican Mitt Romney based on a model relying heavily on state-level economic factors such as unemployment data and changes in personal income.
The academics later updated their estimates based on new data and gave the Republican a bigger edge 330 Electoral College votes to President Barack Obama's 208. Bickers appeared on Fox's "The O'Reilly Factor" and conservative talk radio.
Read more: CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21953154#ixzz2Beip0JWE
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The academics later updated their estimates based on new data and gave the Republican a bigger edge 330 Electoral College votes to President Barack Obama's 208. Bickers appeared on Fox's "The O'Reilly Factor" and conservative talk radio.
Read more: CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21953154#ixzz2Beip0JWE
Read The Denver Post's Terms of Use of its content: http://www.denverpost.com/termsofuse
I would love to know the partisan identity of these two hacks.
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CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Nov 2012
OP
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)1. No shit
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)2. I Wonder How They Were Feeling As Romney Was Losing In The Polls
They would have had to have been off by seven or eight percent. But I think there were other craptastic models. I saw a list of thirteen models and only eight favored the president.
As an aside there aren't many conservatives in academia but the conservative ones are usually the most vocal.
sadbear
(4,340 posts)3. I'm glad to see them finally eat their crow.
They've been avoiding it for so long.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)5. Good Social Science Research Should Be Value Free
The prescriptions for policy we make based on that research is up to us.
JiminyJominy
(340 posts)4. Nate Silver Called...
to say..
hahaahahahahahahahaahahahahaha DUMBASSES!!!
amborin
(16,631 posts)6. some posters kept citing this on Nate's blog....
calico1
(8,391 posts)7. Pity they went through all that work to only
get it all wrong.
They could have saved themselves the trouble if they had just kept up with the 7/11 poll or the Halloween mask sales. Those were correct as they always are.