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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 02:08 PM Nov 2012

CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong"

BOULDER — Back in August, University of Colorado political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry won national attention for projecting an Electoral College romp for Republican Mitt Romney based on a model relying heavily on state-level economic factors such as unemployment data and changes in personal income.
The academics later updated their estimates based on new data and gave the Republican a bigger edge — 330 Electoral College votes to President Barack Obama's 208. Bickers appeared on Fox's "The O'Reilly Factor" and conservative talk radio.


Read more: CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21953154#ixzz2Beip0JWE
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I would love to know the partisan identity of these two hacks.
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 OP
No shit alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #1
I Wonder How They Were Feeling As Romney Was Losing In The Polls DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #2
I'm glad to see them finally eat their crow. sadbear Nov 2012 #3
Good Social Science Research Should Be Value Free DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #5
Nate Silver Called... JiminyJominy Nov 2012 #4
some posters kept citing this on Nate's blog.... amborin Nov 2012 #6
Pity they went through all that work to only calico1 Nov 2012 #7

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
2. I Wonder How They Were Feeling As Romney Was Losing In The Polls
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 02:15 PM
Nov 2012

They would have had to have been off by seven or eight percent. But I think there were other craptastic models. I saw a list of thirteen models and only eight favored the president.

As an aside there aren't many conservatives in academia but the conservative ones are usually the most vocal.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
5. Good Social Science Research Should Be Value Free
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 02:20 PM
Nov 2012

The prescriptions for policy we make based on that research is up to us.

calico1

(8,391 posts)
7. Pity they went through all that work to only
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 02:46 PM
Nov 2012

get it all wrong.

They could have saved themselves the trouble if they had just kept up with the 7/11 poll or the Halloween mask sales. Those were correct as they always are.

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