Early voting starts today. 31 states have early voting. By 11/8, 1/3 of all votes will be cast
That is one fact that makes Donnybrook's path so narrow.
The Trumptanic isn't about to hit an iceberg. It's already hit several. And turning around this listing campaign grows more onerous by the day. Perhaps it's not quite yet a Sisyphean task, but it will be in a few short weeks, barring some miraculous turn of fortune.
October surprises? More of a myth than a reality.
And he now doesn't have a campaign manager. He has a candidate whisperer or handler or something like that. Just compare the experience of Robby Mook and Kellyanne Conway. Yes, Mook is young- 36, but he has a solid background in campaign management going back over a decade- and started political campaigning while still in high school for a teacher running for election to the state house of reps. He managed McCauliff's campaign, worked on Dean's campaign, managed O'Malley's gubernatorial campaign and Cardin's Senate campaign. In other words, he has a solid grounding in contemporary American political campaigns.
Conway, although older, is definitely not as rigorously experienced in running a campaign. In fact, she never has. She's been a pollster for various campaigns. And she's been a ubiquitous "pundit" on TV, but that's it.
As for Bannon, he has zip in the way of campaign experience. Nothing. Nada.
Trump is posed to run his first ad. That I think it sucks is meaningless, we'll see how it plays, but he's playing catchup on the air, despite his endless stream of widely aired pejoratives aimed at HRC, the President and Democrats in general. He's way behind that curve.
He has no coherent or coordinated ground game, meaning field offices (for instance, in FL he has all of one. Hilary has, I believe 24.
If there's a GOTV plan, I've yet to here of it. Hillary's campaign has been working on that for months.
Hillary is surrounded by seasoned professionals who know how to maneuver between Charybdis and Scylla.
and I love the ladies who staff it and the whole old school experience. There's never a line more than a minute.