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Tue Aug 30, 2016, 10:33 PM

Nate Silver: Polls could underestimate Clinton support.

On this week's 538 political podcast, Nate Silver warned that while Trump claims the polls underestimate his support, they could just as easily underestimate support for Hillary. Definitely worth a listen.

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Reply Nate Silver: Polls could underestimate Clinton support. (Original post)
RandySF Aug 2016 OP
Wellstone ruled Aug 2016 #1
pnwmom Aug 2016 #2
Wellstone ruled Aug 2016 #3

Response to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Aug 30, 2016, 10:53 PM

1. Wondered the same.

 

Polling in it's self is getting more and more difficult with all the new Social Media and the with the day of a land line all by disappeared. Example,2000 did some polling work part time during the fall campaigns. Our script was rehearsed for at least one hour before hitting the Phone Cubes. Notice I mention Phone cubes,every person I contacted was someone who had a land line and had voted in their most recent elections which would have been 1998 and were a registered to vote in the November 2000 elections. Would really be interested in just how Polling is done today. Internet polling is just so much bull and impossible to score for accuracy. Hope some one has the real story as to how it is now done.

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Response to Wellstone ruled (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 12:08 AM

2. The traditional polling firms now conduct interviews using both landlines and cell phones. Whenever

they report a poll, they include information about how many respondents were included in their sample and how they contacted them.

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Response to pnwmom (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 12:29 AM

3. Sure a far cry than the old Phone Book

 

with the reverse directory and zip codes. The software even fifteen plus years ago was not that sophisticated. Understand all that is needed is the the target area voter registration and the rest is history.

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