CNN poll giving Trump a lead is skewed. 32 % Republicans. 28 % Democrats in the poll sample

[factfinder_77]

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/09/05/rel13a.-.2016.post-labor.day.pdf

page 21

[LAS14]

1. What would we expect the percentages to be?

[SCliberal91294]

2. Which page?

Gracias

[factfinder_77]

3. page 21 in the .pdf file.

METHODOLOGY


A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 32% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or members of another party.

All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.

Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".

And according to the poll, Trump is leading the independent vote by 20 %..48 % to 28 %.

[misterhighwasted]

4. CNN has been skewing their polls since Hillary announced her candicacy

Once the GE was on its way they have not let up at all.
The TV Newz is unwatchable

[Loki Liesmith]

5. Drop it

We don't unskew polls

[uponit7771]

6. Not only that its weighted 50% of its sample whites with no college degree... just fuckin wow

[SCliberal91294]

7. Even on MSNBC

A Republican pollster came on and said the sampling was off. He said that the labor day weekend caused higher educated voters to not be sampled.

[factfinder_77]

8. UNREAL-adjusted HRC46% DT42%

[0rganism]

9. it's not the sample, it's the turnout model

pollsters can easily adjust for uneven poll sampling by applying weights derived from turnout models. whoever "adjusted" the CNN poll had an agenda.

[factfinder_77]

10. The poll has been the the center stage

for the political round table debates

and this one says it all...


The Republican nominee is rebounding from a summer of repeated stumbles that threatened to undermine his candidacy, underscoring his ability to claw his way back and stay competitive despite controversies that would sink any other politician.

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/09/06/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-election-2016/index.html

[0rganism]

11. CNN discredits themselves further by making such declarations

but look on the up-side: as long as the polls are interpreted to show him not getting blown out, he'll stay in the race instead of dropping out and letting the RNC appoint someone halfway competent