CNN Poll has 50% of electorate as whites without college degree, while in 2012 it was 33%

[uponit7771]

... and this is why these polls should at least have some kind of standards.

It doesn't matter what they were graded at 2 minutes ago if they're sample rates become stupid.


They're not polling 44% of their "random" samples as Latino and pushing that poll...


Not that the national polling means a damn thing but its click bait polling that the M$M latches on to


No link....Chuck Todd, MSNBC 4:04 pm Central

[rufus dog]

1. There exist another explaination

FRAUD

They know what they are doing.

[uponit7771]

2. +1, This has way more plausibility due to tRumps TANGIBLE and documented financial ties with Russia

[izzybella]

3. Let them think they're winning

IMHO, polls like this will only bring more of the anti-Trump people out to vote. I am in a red state, and the people I have spoken to are actually scared of him, so they will vote, especially if they see that there is a chance to flip the state.

I don't think that polls that see him ahead do him any favors. I think they are more likely to work against him and bring out the casual voters who may have originally thought is no way he can win.

[uponit7771]

4. Same here in Texas, Suburb Texas is pretty racially and economically mixed save Fort Worth

... and people even there are scared shit less of tRump.

I'm still going to grab minimum 2 to the polls here...

I would love to at least get the attention of the DNC...

The demos who could swing the state big time if they would put up some operations here.

[VMA131Marine]

5. It's pointless to obsess over a single poll

If the polling average shows Trump leading, that's a time to maybe worry. Currently, it doesn't; Hillary still leads by about 4 points and has many more paths to an electoral college win than Trump. Chalk this poll up as an outlier for the time being. They do happen even for the most careful pollsters.

[uponit7771]

6. I agree even if it were 3 - 4 polls, the gripe here is there's no standard and the M$M lazily allows

... the polls to be all over the place to push horse race memes.

In this case we don't need a horse race, we need a person who thinks nuclear war is viable gone as viable candidate.

[beachbumbob]

7. No problem.. I rather have all of America thinking this election is close...

When all democrats come out to vote a huge landslide...

[uponit7771]

16. +1

[Bill USA]

8. IOW CLinton/Kaine dropped 9 pts in 1 month? CNN had CLinton at 52% in July 29-31 poll

[Bill USA]

9. is there a link to CNN's sampling methodology?

[pnwmom]

11. Here:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/09/05/rel13a.-.2016.post-labor.day.pdf

METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 32% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".

[Bill USA]

12. okay, I had seen and read that. But it doesn't reveal the % that are white as mentioned in OP.

[pnwmom]

14. I can't find it either. Strange. n/t

[madinmaryland]

15. "40% described themselves as independents or members of another party." WTF???

That includes teabaggers who do not consider themselves repubicans. Something is off about this.

[woolldog]

10. Perhaps Trump has energized that group of voters?

What have the other samples from pollsters shown?

[democrattotheend]

13. They model what they think the electorate will be this time

Remember, the electorate isn't the same thing as the population. The electorate is the people who turn out to vote. Unfortunately, unlike in 2008 and 2012, they have more enthusiasm on their side this year (which is pretty much inevitable for a party that has been out of the White House for 8 years), and thus it is likely that non-college whites, one of their core constituencies, will be a greater share of the electorate. I agree though that the shift does seem too high.