538 says Hillary has a 70% chance of winning

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

But the corporate media says Trump's catching up.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

[Silent3]

1. Good, but still troubling to me that it's not a lot higher.

The odds of Trump winning are still better than the odds of losing a game of Russian roulette using a six-shooter and one bullet. How comfortable would you feel pointing that gun at your own head?

Trump is so awful that it's insane his odds aren't down to single digits. Even single digit odds of Trump winning would make me feel ill.

[davekriss]

2. That's down considerably from the post-convention bounce of 87%

[CajunBlazer]

3. Actually that is down from 89.2% right after the convention.

However, it got down to 67.8% a few days ago, so her lead seems to be expanding a bit again.

However, I can't be happy with Trump having a 3 out of 10 chance of being President.

Do everything possible to GOTV!!!!!

[greyl]

4. The Now-cast is 74.5%.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

[MFM008]

5. I'm going into surgery soon and

I would much rather have a 70% survival as opposed to 30% . Right.