Why Clinton’s narrow lead is bigger than it looks

[RandySF]

So, the next time you see media reports that Florida or Ohio is ‘close’ or that Pennsylvania is ‘tightening,’ you should not be surprised. They are narrowly divided states where it is difficult for one party to blow out the other in a competitive federal election.

But being ‘close’ isn’t the same thing as saying a state is a ‘toss up’ or both candidates have the same chance of winning it.

And because of that, the Clinton-Trump race can be both ‘competitive’ and even ‘close’ in a state and nationally, but at the same time clearly favor one nominee – in this case Clinton.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/09/13/why-im-skeptical-of-polls-showing-trump-gaining-on-clinton/

[Gothmog]

1. Trump's complete lack of a ground game will hurt him