Sure, Trump has the momentum. But his prospects for 270 electoral votes are dim. - By Chris Cillizza
By Chris Cillizza September 18 at 12:54 PM
It is beyond dispute that Donald Trump has the momentum in the presidential race. It is also beyond dispute that he still has an incredibly narrow path to get to 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.
Let’s start with the two most important numbers in this election: 18 and 13.
Eighteen is the number of states every Democratic presidential nominee has carried in each of the past six presidential elections, dating to 1992. Add in the District of Columbia, which also fits the bill, and you get 242 electoral votes.
Thirteen is the number of states every Republican presidential nominee has won in those same presidential elections. Add them up, and you get 102 electoral votes.
You do not have to be a Fields Medal winner to quickly grasp Republicans’ problem: Their party starts in a significant electoral-college hole, fueled by several states with large populations — California, New York and Illinois, to name three — that are among the most reliably Democratic in the country.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/sure-trump-has-the-momentum-but-his-prospects-for-270-electoral-votes-are-still-dim/2016/09/18/e6a38440-7daf-11e6-ae22-bfe3092ac7cc_story.html?wpisrc=nl_headlines&wpmm=1
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