Marquette University Wisconsin Poll - Clinton +2 LV, +5 RV

[democrattotheend]

Never seen such a hyped poll! Watching their video where they are bloviating before getting to the numbers.

Not much changed from last time, where Clinton was +3 LV and +5 RV last month.

[MoonRiver]

1. I haven't heard anything about this poll.

What makes you think they are so hyped?

[gabeana]

2. It has been hyped on DU

this morning, that is what the OP might mean

[democrattotheend]

3. They've been hyping it on Twitter for 2 days

Promised it at 12:15 pm, then pushed to 1:15, now going on and on

[geek tragedy]

4. lack of polling re: Wisconsin, which could be a place where Trump makes a move (89% white) nt

[democrattotheend]

6. C 44 T 42 LV, C 43 T 38 RV

Clinton down 1 point from August, Trump unchanged LV.
RV still 5 points like last month.

[Doctor Jack]

7. Looks like she improved in RV

[LisaL]

15. Lets hope they actually get out there and vote.

[DarthDem]

12. Thanks.

So that was the big news, eh?

Shorter version (without the absurd buildup): Trump ain't winning Wisconsin, nor will it be all that close, and Johnson is done.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

8. She lost one point since last poll in August

Rump stayed the same

[triron]

9. Not great

but I admit I am somewhat relieved. Hopefully this improves after the debate Monday.

[DarthDem]

10. LOL at These Pollsters

It seems that for many of them, just releasing statistical samples isn't enough. Now we have to have grand unveiling ceremonies of polls to generate more attention, ad revenue, and the like. And as a bonus, quite a few pollsters can't seem to sample sensibly for some strange reason, leading to more drama surrounding . . . their next poll.

Dump isn't going to win Wisconsin. Period.

[alcibiades_mystery]

11. Pollster had Obama only up +1 mid-October 2012, miraculously up +8 immediately prior

Obama won +8. Therefore, they're accurate.

It's a circus show through Halloween.

[DarthDem]

13. Zactly.

Back when anyone cared about the laughable Scott Razz, his "polling firm" would do the same thing, taking its thumb off the scale once the real purpose of attempting to drive a narrative was over, then suddenly release a normalized result in order to claim it was right all along.

[SaschaHM]

14. I give them a bit of leeway since it is a university poll.

The more they get there name/material out there, the more attention their programs get. The more attention their programs get, the more applicants they get. I was dead set on applying to Duke, Columbia, and MIT, until I got a brochure detailing the programs at Yale and that turned out to be a natural fit.


Yeah, Trump isn't going to win WI. I can't help but think that there are some hard feelings left over from the primary that are boosting Johnson's numbers/keeping Clinton from going higher. I'd send Bernie on a University Tour if I were the campaign.

[DarthDem]

16. Not Really

It's just Poll-Cooking 101. For the reasons you stated. Leeway should translate into adjusting the numbers toward common sense and historical trends. Not to mention that this poll has Feingold up by 5 or 6. Because there are tons of people who will vote Feingold/Trump, or something, don'tcha know.

[SaschaHM]

17. Leeway on the big production. Screw poll-cooking.

[molova]

18. No one knows what date it was conducted

September what to September what?

[RAFisher]

19. Ugh. Wisconsin is kinda looking like a swing state. But it's great she's up.

Clinton has been doing pretty good at keeping here 270 EV firewall in tack. But only up 2%? Hard to call that safe for Clinton. Between this and Colorado are the two states Trump could damage the firewall.