2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLoris University Poll of Iowa: HRC and Trump deadlocked
Note on Methodology: The Loras College Poll surveyed 491 likely Iowa voters. The survey was conducted
September 20-22, 2016. Margin of error for full sample results is +/- 4.4%. Margins of error for subgroups are
higher. All results calculated at a 95% confidence interval.
Q12. If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the
Republicans, for whom would you vote?
Definitely Hillary Clinton
...175 35.6%
Probably Hillary Clinton
33 6.7%
TOTAL CLINTON
..
208 42.3%
Definitely Donald Trump
..161 32.8%
Probably Donald Trump
..45 9.2%
TOTAL TRUMP
..206 42.0%
Someone Else
..30 6.1%
Unsure
38 7.7%
Refused
9 1.8%
http://myweb.loras.edu/Loras/PDF/POLLStatewideIASurveySept26-2016.pdf
Farmgirl1961
(1,493 posts)So -- can I take this as good news?
book_worm
(15,951 posts)in several other polls.
DarthDem
(5,255 posts)Concerned DUers wrote off Iowa a couple weeks back. This suggests that may have been hasty.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)interesting.
Farmgirl1961
(1,493 posts)triron
(22,001 posts)artifact of media to some degree?
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Trump +9 is probably an outlier there, and so is this poll in all likelihood. She's probably down 4-5 points there when you average the polls out.
Iowa is a hood ornament at this point, the presidency will be won or lost elsewhere.
Peacetrain
(22,875 posts)triron
(22,001 posts)on early/absentee voting?