electoral-vote.com has hillary down by only 3% in... wait... *mississippi*????

[unblock]

http://www.electoral-vote.com/


any real basis for this or just some polling fluke??

[whatthehey]

1. Likely just a fluke, MS whites are R 5 to 1

Now there is a large black population of course but likely not large enough. MS gets very little polling so hard to be quantitative in these discussions, but GE precedent is pretty consistent.

[unblock]

2. figured it had to be a fluke. heard talk of georgia flipping and eventually texas. but mississippi?

that one might take a while....

[LonePirate]

3. Trump's base is comprised of the least likely voters possible.

If white non-college graduates do not vote - and I don't believe they will turn out in any heavier numbers than in the past - then Trump is going to lose massively as white college graduates and minorities are backing Clinton this year.

[Skoods]

4. It's from a Survey Monkey 50 state poll at the beginning of 9/2016

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/2016-election/50-state-poll/

I wouldn't take any 50 state poll seriously.