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2016 Postmortem

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts) Thu Oct 6, 2016, 04:28 PM Oct 2016

Trump campaign admits to reporter behind in multiple states it needs to win

John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood)

10/6/16, 4:04 PM
Team Trump view of shortest path to 270: Romney states (though now behind in NC) + IA/OH/NV (now ahead) + FL/NH (behind) + ME 2. exactly 270

https://twitter.com/johnjharwood/status/784122190555848704?refsrc=email&s=11

So, Team Trump estimates that Clinton is sitting at 312 Electoral Votes. And Clinton has a superior GOTV effort.

Also note what's not part of the plan

Pennsylvania
Virginia
Colorado
Wisconsin

And, not at all clear they're ahead in NV (I'll buy OH and IA though they're not a shoo in for those states either)