Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:43 PM Oct 2016

Chichiri's State of The Election - 29 Days to Go

This map was created by my own analysis of several poll aggregators and modelers.





The solid blue states add up to 273 electoral votes. If anyone can think of a realistic scenario under which Hillary loses any of those states, I'd like to hear it.

I'm regarding Ohio as gray right now because, although several pollsters and modelers currently have it leaning blue, the consensus is pretty weak -- that is, while the polls are leaning our way, it's not by much. I want to see more polling in the state.

As of this writing, Arizona is pale blue in 538's Now-cast. That's a very volatile model, and I don't expect that will hold unless we see a rather large sea change from this weekend, but it's certainly heartwarming!

1 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Chichiri's State of The Election - 29 Days to Go (Original Post) Chichiri Oct 2016 OP
Wow! Thanks for this! Madam45for2923 Oct 2016 #1
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Chichiri's State of The E...