2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumElectoral College Math Still Favors Clinton
Amy Walter: However, despite the recent tightening, Trump remains behind in the polls. And, his path to 270 electoral votes remains decidedly and almost impossibly narrow. Polling taken over the weekend suggests that voters are reacting to the FBI story in a typically partisan manner. Could it have an impact on enthusiasm? Perhaps. And, it also could get reluctant GOPers to show up to cast a vote for down ballot GOPers to give a check on Clinton. But, it hasnt upended the normal pattern/trajectory of the campaign.
The most recent polls suggest that Trumps best chances to flip a state Obama carried in 2012 are Iowa, Ohio and Florida. Even so, North Carolina a state Romney carried in 2012 is looking tougher and tougher for Trump. Pennsylvania, Virginia and Colorado also look out of reach. Without North Carolina or Pennsylvania, it is almost impossible for him to hit 270.
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https://politicalwire.com/2016/11/01/electoral-college-math-still-favors-clinton/
Jarqui
(10,131 posts)of NC, NV and CO with the polls, it is even more "almost impossible for him to hit 270.
Farmgirl1961
(1,494 posts)I'd like to see more early voting info on NC
onetexan
(13,071 posts)This article outta help us focus on the positive and GOTV:
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/upshot/get-ready-for-another-swing-in-the-polls-but-not-necessarily-a-shift-in-the-race.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fupshot&action=click&contentCollection=upshot®ion=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=sectionfront&_r=0
"One can imagine the perfect storm: Democratic-leaning voters, newly dispirited by the news about Mrs. Clintons emails, decide not to turn out; well-educated, Republican-leaning white voters return to their traditional party after a few weeks of relative quiet from Mr. Trump and bad news about Mrs. Clinton; undecided, Democratic-leaning white working-class men break for Mr. Trump; Hispanic and black turnout falls short of expectations, and so on.
But so far this cycle, it has been safer to bet that the polls will return to where theyve been than to assume that a new shift will be a lasting one. It points toward a clear, fundamental dynamic in the race: A majority of voters dislike both candidates and they would prefer not to vote for either one of them, but they believe Mr. Trump is not fit to be president."
I have faith the majority of Americans aren't bat crazy as trump's minions and will make the right decision that Hillary is by far the best leader for our country.