2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNow I know Nate Silver is trolling
A- poll comes in C+6, her chances rise from 68.8 to 69.0. One (1) B- poll comes in with her down 9 in Missouri, and she drops to 67.6? You can't make this shit up.
Wtf Nate
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)brooklynite
(94,727 posts)If it makes you feel better...
Demsrule86
(68,667 posts)Also, it is different than last time...different model...I think he will be way off.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)GusBob
(7,286 posts)Lolz
LAS14
(13,783 posts)GusBob
(7,286 posts)It was bad luck,
It was poor timing!
We, it, there was a flood! No a hurricane! Um forest fire!
ailsagirl
(22,899 posts)I don't trust him
LenaBaby61
(6,977 posts)I stopped going there this summer even when Hillary was way up in the polls because I was hearing rumors about him and I'd begun to look at him just a bit differently. Nothing "nefarious," but enough for me to go looking elsewhere for polling data just than @ 538.
I've mostly been with Sam Wang over at Princeton Consortium and at a few other sites since this summer.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)He seems really off the rails lately.
yardwork
(61,703 posts)duffyduff
(3,251 posts)n/t
qdouble
(891 posts)The reason why Hillary is up ~70% is due to her state margins, not the national polling averages. It would be tighter if it were based on national polling.