2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGreenberg: Florida Dems stunned by the scale of Latino turnout
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Greg SargentVerified account
?@ThePlumLineGS Greg Sargent Retweeted Greg Sargent
Dem pollster @StanGreenberg says Latino turnout in Florida is "explosive," adding that Dems "are stunned by the scale of it":
https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Cha
(297,446 posts)MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)remember in his grave.
RKP5637
(67,112 posts)calimary
(81,389 posts)Let's send him OUT of politics! Or at least short-circuit his big ambitions.
manicraven
(901 posts)babylonsister
(171,079 posts)Tom Rivers
(459 posts)we're seeing this all across the board in swing states with heavy latino populations. black voters are also starting to pick up the pace a bit. if dems win florida, north carolina, and nevada, it makes it easier to survive a surprise or two that may occur with the blue firewall.
Farmgirl1961
(1,493 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)thinking that it won't be higher than in 2012.
sarcasmo
(23,968 posts)4lbs
(6,858 posts)Latinos are 25 to 38% of the population in those states, but many of the polls have only about 5% or less Latinos polled. I.E. poll has 800 respondents, but less than 5% are Latino.
Many voting Latinos prefer the polling questionnaires in Spanish, and if they are in English only, they just refuse to take part.
Thus, the pollsters vastly under sample Latinos.
LisaL
(44,974 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)0rganism
(23,960 posts)previously, its effect was significant but diluted; Republicans could count on a substantial share (esp. in Florida)
now, there is no doubt which way it will go, and it won't be to tRump
i think the polls are vastly understating Hillary's margins; when it's all said and done, i'd be surprised if she wins by less than 8% nationally
Cha
(297,446 posts)Mahalo,RSF
tavernier
(12,395 posts)Although I believe most Central and South American Latinos will vote for HRC, there is still a large segment of the Cuban population in Florida who will never vote Dem.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)I know anecdotal evidence is useless, but my Cuban friends who live in Florida are posting a lot of anti-Trump stuff on FB. They know what a dictator can do to a country, and they seem intent on not having one take over the USA.
tableturner
(1,683 posts)....Latino's of Puerto Rican, Mexican, Central American, and South American heritage who are overwhelmingly voting for Hillary. Don't forget, Cubans are a fast decreasing percentage of Florida's Latinos. Plus, even many Cubans who normally vote Republican cannot bring themselves to vote for a guy with such a negative attitude toward Latinos.
brush
(53,802 posts)just as the other young Latinos in Florida are.
pstokely
(10,530 posts)I'm sure if Elian had stayed with those distant relatives, he would have been brainwashed into a young teabagger
tavernier
(12,395 posts)as well as Bay of Pigs and most recently Obama's decision to start opening doors. The younger generation are more hopeful, but I live in the Keys amongst a very large Cuban community, and believe me, young Cuban males are the most outspoken in their support of Trump.
True_Blue
(3,063 posts)Viva la Florida!
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)Lots of room for more turnout in several gropups:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/fd/Voter_Turnout_by_Race-Ethnicity,_2008_US_Presidential_Election.png
Hekate
(90,758 posts)CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)BlancheSplanchnik
(20,219 posts)I said, I think we're gonna be seeing a lot more of that.
sarcasmo
(23,968 posts)Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Very quiet. They weren't chirping like last Friday after the Comey story broke. I sense they know how other Hispanics are voting, and what it means.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)and the GOP is freaking out about it. This election could set Latinos as a huge solid Democratic voting block for decades if not forever. Thanks to Moron Trump!
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)The thing is, Latino voters used to break 50/50 for Dems and Reps about a decade ago. But Reps have been DRIVING them into the Democratic party as hard as they can since then. Racist Mofos did it to themselves. And they want to whine about how Dems are somehow "rigging" the vote when they just have crap ideas and bad social skills.