Poll: Clinton holds a 6-point lead in Pa.; Senate race remains tight

[book_worm]

Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a 6-point lead among likely Pennsylvania voters, who also expressed some concerns about potential violence as the tense and tumultuous election draws to a close.

The results are similar to a poll conducted two weeks earlier , indicating little to no shift in public opinion after the recent FBI announcement that it was reviewing a new set of emails linked to Clinton, said Chris Borick, director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion.

The statewide survey — conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 4 with 405 likely Pennsylvania voters and with a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points — shows Clinton with support from 48 percent and Trump with the backing of 42 percent in a head-to-head matchup.

When third-party candidates are included, Clinton's lead narrows to 4 points. She drew 44 percent, with Trump at 40 percent, Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.

In the U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Pat Toomey and Democrat Katie McGinty remain in a close race with Toomey drawing support from 43 percent to McGinty's 42 percent.

http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pa-poll-trump-clinton-toomey-mcginty-20161105-story.html

[underpants]

1. MOE 5.5%

Good news but that's a little too big of a MOE.

[Fahrenthold451]

2. Poll looks fine to me

Republican registration is up 5.5 percent over a year ago to 3.1 million. Democratic registration is up 2.5 percent to almost 4.1 million.

That's 4 dems for every 3 reps. Registered.

Party affiliation in poll is 47d/40r/10i

Looks fine to me. Smallish sample. I'll take it.