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applegrove

(118,734 posts)
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 05:48 PM Nov 2016

The New Exit Polls

The New Exit Polls

https://politicalwire.com/2016/11/05/new-exit-polls/

"SNIP...........


Beginning at 11 am ET on Election Day, VoteCastr will make rolling projections of how many ballots have been cast for each candidate in seven key states: Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Slate: “This, as you may have heard, is controversial. It will break a decadeslong journalistic tradition whereby media outlets obey a self-imposed embargo on voting information under the unproven theory that it might depress turnout on Election Day.”


.............SNIP"
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applegrove

(118,734 posts)
1. That's not good. Remember the 'shy elephants' who did not say they
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 05:50 PM
Nov 2016

voted for Bush in 2004 exit polls? Making Kerry look like he was winning in a landslide by 2PM. Keeping lazy democrats home after work. So Bush won?

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
2. That wasn't the only reason - and exit polls were pretty spot on in 2008 and 2012.
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 06:00 PM
Nov 2016

They changed exit polling data after the 2004 debacle and it's been pretty consistent the last two elections.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
4. I will not be going to that site under any circumstances
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 06:35 PM
Nov 2016

Nor will I click on any threads reporting values from it, nor will I tell my friends about it. Just vote. This can go so wrong in so many ways. If their exits don't match the end results, the Trumpkins will be ready to revolt.

DLnyc

(2,479 posts)
5. Haven't we been getting exit polling from early voting for a couple of weeks now?
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:49 PM
Nov 2016

Same-day polls don't seem a lot different from what we've been getting for weeks this year, no?

It seems like times have changed, everyone has orders of magnitude more information now than we did decades ago. It could suppress voting or encourage voting, hard to say. Anyway, everyone should vote regardless of either the current polls or the same-day polls!

IMHO.

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