Targetsmart, W&M Ohio Poll. 43-40 Trump

[Renew Deal]

43-40 is the projection for everyone. Hillary winning early vote 48-41

Includes Early Vote

1.6 Million Early Votes and more after today
48-41-4-2 Early Vote Poll

57% of early voters are women. "Higher than any other battleground state so far."
Election day vote projection: 44-38

[Dem2]

1. 2 posts

no link

[Rocknrule]

2. What percentage of OH votes have already been cast?

[vdogg]

8. We MAY be able to make that up with ground game.

3% would be over performing the overall polling average. If the Comey announcement has any effect we may shave off a point or two and be in the game.

[blitzen]

11. Just saw the TargetSmart guy on MSNBC...

He was saying that their data shows Trump by 3 since more Trump people will vote on Tues. But he himself clearly thinks Hillary is surging and has a real chance, because her GOTV is far superior and the EV was extremely good for Clinton

[RBInMaine]

12. And this didn't include today's early vote plus there is tomorrow's early vote too, right?

[blitzen]

15. I think they are including projections for today and tomorrow and saying Hillary will win EV by 7...

He also said that over 2 million will have voted early but that more than that will vote on Tues

[RBInMaine]

17. So what would it take to squeak out a win here? Is that possible?

[blitzen]

20. GOTV and high percentage of women voters....

He implied that Hillary's team in Ohio is really good and Trump's is a joke

[LisaL]

26. Polls are just that. Polls.

Polls can be wrong.

[geek tragedy]

21. 17% undecided. nt

[LisaL]

22. At this date?

[blitzen]

23. yeah, i noticed that...

with things swinging Hillary's way that win it for her