Reminder to IBD/TIPP poll lovers: Rasmussen was very accurate before it sucked
As you may have noticed, certain people have been touting the atrocious, pro-Trump IBD/TIPP poll on the grounds that "It's been accurate in past elections", where it is implied that polls that were once-awesome polls will continue to be awesome.
Well, Rasmussen was very accurate in 2004, and 2008, before it predicted Romney would become our President in 2012.
This is from a Slate article from 2004:
"Look who's laughing now. Rasmussen and SurveyUSA beat most of their human competitors in the battleground states, often by large margins."
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/human_nature/2004/12/lets_go_to_the_audiotape.html
And from Politico, regarding Rasmussen's 2008 accuracy:
And 2008: "Last year, the progressive website FiveThirtyEight.coms pollster ratings, based on the 2008 presidential primaries, awarded Rasmussen the third-highest mark for its accuracy in predicting the outcome of the contests. And Rasmussens final poll of the 2008 general election showing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percent closely mirrored the elections outcome."
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/31047_Page2.html
Needless to say, Rasmussen sucked big time in 2012 to the point that nobody takes the poll seriously.
If you expect IBD/TIPP (which is given a very good grade by the useless fivethirtyeight.com) to be accurate in 2016 based on their past accuracy, I have a bridge to sell you.