Nine most accurate 2012 pollsters ALL predict Hillary Clinton victory

[Coyotl]

Last edited Mon Nov 7, 2016, 12:39 PM - Edit history (1)

Most accurate final, national pre-election estimates in 2012, here sort ordered by accuracy, with their predicted Clinton margins:

Ipsos/Reuters +5
YouGov +4.5
PPP +5 in battleground states
Angus-Reid +4
ABC/WP +5
NBC/WSJ +4
CBS/NYT +3
YouGov/Economist +5
UPI/CVOTER +3

[Coyotl]

1. Daily Kos Elections final presidential forecast: Clinton 323 electoral votes, Trump 215

Last edited Tue Nov 8, 2016, 08:16 AM - Edit history (2)

Daily Kos Elections final presidential forecast: Clinton 323 electoral votes, Trump 215

Love the graphics on dKos, especially the cartogram option. I think we are in for a few surprises tomorrow night due to turnout of minorities and women in particular, and specioal interest concerns on the ballot, legalizing weed and medical marijuana and minimum wage. In Az there is a synergy of these in play, so Az can turn blue. Texas has a powerful Latino voting block and if they go to the polls in decent numbers, trump loses Texas. In Ohio a combination of ground game and minority turnout will tip the scale blue.

With Ohio and Arizona, the result is 352-186. If Texas surprises the pollsters, the result shift to 390-148.

[Coyotl]

2. LA Times final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes.

We've updated our electoral map for the final time in this topsy-turvy campaign year.

For this version, our goal was no toss-ups. We're giving you our best estimates, based on public polling, state vote histories and the reporting done by our campaign staff, on which way we think each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia will fall this year.

The previous version of the map had five toss-up states. In the end, we're predicting that three of them -- North Carolina, Ohio and Arizona -- will go for Hillary Clinton.

Iowa will go to Donald Trump, we expect. .... MORE ..

MAP: http://www.trbimg.com/img-581fb6c4/turbine/la-na-electoral-map-20161106/600

[Cicada]

3. Ok, I will stop worrying now

[Coyotl]

5. It is a great feeling to be this far ahead the day before, unless you are Trump.

Imagine what the Great Orange Pumpkin is feeling today!

[Coyotl]

4. Fox News Poll: Clinton moves to 4-point edge over Trump

Fox News Poll: Clinton moves to 4-point edge over Trump
Dana Blanton Published November 07, 2016

With one day before Election Day, Hillary Clinton has a four percentage-point lead over Donald Trump, according to the final Fox News national pre-election poll of likely voters.

She’s ahead by 48-44 percent, while Gary Johnson receives 3 percent and Jill Stein 2 percent.

[Coyotl]

6. Roundup: Hillary Clinton Tops Donald Trump in Several Predictions

Electoral College Vote Map Projections before 2016 Presidential Debates
Roundup: Hillary Clinton Tops Donald Trump in Several Predictions

Hillary Clinton still holds a steady electoral college vote lead over Donald Trump in their volatile race for the White House.

With several critical battleground states still billed as too close to call, the latest 270toWin poll shows Clinton holding off Trump 200 electoral votes to 163.

Among the states safely counted as in the former first lady's column are California, Oregon, New Mexico, Minnesota, Illinois, New York, Virginia, Maine, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, D.C. and Hawaii.



......... Real Clear Politics electoral vote polls finds similar results, with Clinton on top 200 to 164 with 174 votes remaining undecided. .............

[Coyotl]

9. CBC News: Presidential Poll Tracker state-by-state projections = 323-215

Presidential Poll Tracker state-by-state projections
Full state-by-state breakdown for the U.S. presidential election
By Éric Grenier, CBC News Updated: Nov 07, 2016 11:11 AM ET

VIEW MAP

States with a projected margin of 3.7 points or less are considered Lean states by the Poll Tracker. Those with a projected margin of between 3.7 and 8.2 points are considered Likely states for either the Democrats or Republicans. States with a margin of more than 8.2 points are considered Safe.

[Coyotl]

10. 270toWin:Clinton Wins with 322 Electoral Votes; Tied Senate Gives Democrats Control

Final Crystal Ball: Clinton Wins with 322 Electoral Votes; Tied Senate Gives Democrats Control
November 7, 2016

The final projection from Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is a Clinton victory with 322 electoral votes vs. 216 for Donald Trump. This is an increase of 29 over their prior forecast - as Florida moved to lean Clinton from toss-up. At the same time, however, Pennsylvania, Michigan and New Hampshire were moved to the lean category from likely. As a result, Clinton's favored total (safe + likely) has dropped below 270. Texas was returned to safe Republican.

..........

" target="_blank">MAP posted above.

[uponit7771]

11. +1

[Coyotl]

12. evening kick

[Coyotl]

13. morning kick