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kstewart33

(6,551 posts)
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 12:38 PM Nov 2016

List of final national poll results this morning.

Please add to the list if I've missed one:

Bloomberg: Clinton 44%, Trump 41%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%

CBS News: Clinton 45%, Trump 41%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%

Washington Post/ABC News: Clinton 47%, Trump 43%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%

NBC News/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 47%, Trump 41%, Johnson 6%, Stein 3%

Fox News: Clinton 48%, Trump 44%, Johnson 3%, Stein 2%

Monmouth: Clinton 50%, Trump 44%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%

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List of final national poll results this morning. (Original Post) kstewart33 Nov 2016 OP
keeping my fingers crossed... chillfactor Nov 2016 #1
Nationals don't matter. Why we hang on them so tightly is a mystery. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #2
How many times in US history has the popular and electoral vote diverged? Democat Nov 2016 #5
It's happened four times. That's about 10% -- twice the confidence level in polling margin of error. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #7
It's happened 1 time since 1888, out of more than 30 presidential elections since then. Garrett78 Nov 2016 #15
or... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #6
They are accurate!! This is happening !! She's going to win popular and electoral...!! =) TrekLuver Nov 2016 #10
Very consistent. nt. NCTraveler Nov 2016 #13
Dec 1969 #
Dec 1969 #
Dec 1969 #

Democat

(11,617 posts)
5. How many times in US history has the popular and electoral vote diverged?
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 12:45 PM
Nov 2016

If Clinton beats Trump by 5% in the popular vote, he's not going to win the electoral college.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
7. It's happened four times. That's about 10% -- twice the confidence level in polling margin of error.
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 12:50 PM
Nov 2016

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
15. It's happened 1 time since 1888, out of more than 30 presidential elections since then.
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 02:09 PM
Nov 2016

And that 1 time involved some serious shenanigans.

The fact is there's a strong correlation between winning the popular vote and reaching 270+.

getagrip_already

(14,764 posts)
6. or...
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 12:46 PM
Nov 2016

>pop vote %, the more likely close house seats will flip.

There is a correlation. Gerrymandering assures votes in a normal election, but it also means in a wave they canbe swamped because they rely on a thin buffer of votes to hold. Exceed that margin, and the district flips.

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