2016 Postmortem

DCPSR

(35 posts) Thu Jan 2, 2014, 12:15 PM Jan 2014

2016 Poll has Toomey leading in PA for reelection by just 5 points

http://www.reddit.com/r/ElectionPolls/comments/1u8i28/16_pa_sen_toomey_has_small_lead_on_ag_kathleen/

He leads Kathleen Kane 49-44 and Joe Sestak 49-42.

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

2016 Poll has Toomey leading in PA for reelection by just 5 points (Original Post) DCPSR Jan 2014 OP

He won't win. hrmjustin Jan 2014 #1

Lots of folks in Pennsyltucky are PO'd at Toomey Freddie Jan 2014 #2

Just five points bigdarryl Jan 2014 #3

Five points is not a large lead in Pennsylvania. blue neen Jan 2014 #8

This far out, that could be considered good news... Wounded Bear Jan 2014 #4

wow. he's a complete disaster and still leading comfortably Doctor_J Jan 2014 #5

Disappointing he is significantly ahead VirginiaTarheel Jan 2014 #6

The PA Democrats still have time to come up with an inspiring candidate DFW Jan 2014 #7

I suspect Pat Toomey gets a primary challenger, oddly enough... Hippo_Tron Jan 2014 #9

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)

1. He won't win.

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Thu Jan 2, 2014, 12:17 PM

Jan 2014

Freddie

(9,275 posts)

2. Lots of folks in Pennsyltucky are PO'd at Toomey

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Thu Jan 2, 2014, 12:33 PM

Jan 2014

After he expressed support for expanded background checks. The comments on his FB page were both priceless and scary. That won't translate to more Dem votes, maybe more gun nuts staying home in Nov.

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)

3. Just five points

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Thu Jan 2, 2014, 02:05 PM

Jan 2014

Well that's a lot for any democrat challenger to over come.Sorry I don't see the positive in this poll.when Santorum ran for reelection he was 20 some points behind Casey.I don't think we can win that seat Im just keeping it real

blue neen

(12,328 posts)

8. Five points is not a large lead in Pennsylvania.

Reply to bigdarryl (Reply #3)

Sat Jan 4, 2014, 02:10 PM

Jan 2014

Toomey led by far more than that at times in 2010, a Republican year. Yet, he only won that seat by 70,000 votes out of nearly 4 million cast.

Pat Toomey will be in trouble in PA in 2016. There will be a very viable "democrat" challenger.

Wounded Bear

(58,726 posts)

4. This far out, that could be considered good news...

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Thu Jan 2, 2014, 03:41 PM

Jan 2014

Keep at it Pennsylvania!

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)

5. wow. he's a complete disaster and still leading comfortably

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Fri Jan 3, 2014, 01:48 AM

Jan 2014

That is really bad news.

VirginiaTarheel

(823 posts)

6. Disappointing he is significantly ahead

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Fri Jan 3, 2014, 12:23 PM

Jan 2014

Our candidates are not exciting.

DFW

(54,447 posts)

7. The PA Democrats still have time to come up with an inspiring candidate

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2014, 12:06 PM

Jan 2014

2016 is not 2014

Hippo_Tron

(25,453 posts)

9. I suspect Pat Toomey gets a primary challenger, oddly enough...

Reply to DCPSR (Original post)

Sat Jan 4, 2014, 03:24 PM

Jan 2014

The first wave of the Tea Party is getting thrown out by an even nuttier second wave of the Tea Party. Marco Rubio and Pat Toomey often look downright sane and reasonable next to Ted Cruz.

I doubt Toomey survives re-election unless the Democrats nominate someone horridly flawed, because the state has really become a reliably leaning blue state as long as Philadelphia and Pittsburgh voters actually go to the polls. When they don't, the "Alabama" part of the state decides who wins.

In a less blue Pennsylvania, Santorum managed to win re-election in a year that the state where Gore/Nader carried almost 53% of the vote combined. But I think he did himself in when he started to emerge as a national figure.

Reply to this discussion