The 2014 elections and voting demographics: promise and peril

[sheshe2]

State Sen. Wendy Davis (D), candidate for Texas Governor in 2014.

snip

As we now launch into the midterm election year of 2014, a couple of key races would appear, on the surface, to hinge on those core Democratic voting blocs and their growth. Both Texas gubernatorial candidate Wendy Davis, and Georgia Senate hopeful Michelle Nunn, face contests that have to be considered plausible wins, though neither would be favored to win.

These are, after all, red states at the presidential level. But these are also states that have large numbers of nonwhite voters that could make the difference in November of 2014.

But will they? A look inside the numbers below the fold reveals both the promise, and the peril, for both candidates as they look ahead eleven months.

snip

However, both Davis in Texas and Carter/Nunn in Georgia do have something going for them besides demographic shifts that might be pulling their states, inexorably if slowly, in their direction. They are facing opponents that could put any rational voter, white, black, Latino, or Inuit, into a pure face-palm moment. For those who do not know what is being referenced here, meet Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal and Georgia Senate candidate Jack Kingston.

(Psst ... he's considered the moderate, electable one.)

Deal:

GOP rebranding update: Can't endorse integrated prom
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/04/15/1201910/-GOP-rebranding-update-Can-t-endorse-integrated-prom

Kingston:

Republican says poor children should be required to work for food
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/12/18/1263706/-Rep-Jack-Kingston-Poor-kids-should-work-if-they-want-to-eat-school-lunches

Read More~
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/01/05/1266726/-The-2014-elections-and-voting-demographics-promise-and-peril

[Gothmog]

1. I know Greg and he is not that smart and he is mean spirited

I am strongly supporting Wendy Davis. I have given money to both her campaign and to Battleground Texas. Wendy's opponent is a toxic tort litigator from one of my former firms. He is not a nice person. This is going to be a nasty campaign because both Greg and his supporters are nasty people. Greg has thanked a support who called Wendy Davis a nasty name (Retard Barbie) and Greg's followers have an active twitter thread (search the term @abortionbarbie). I am hoping that this campaign will alienate female voters in Texas.

The Davis campaign is going to focus on single female suburban and Hispanic voters. If the Democrats can win these two groups, Wendy Davis will be the next governor.

While I want Davis to win, the Texas Democrats may have a better chance in the Lt. Governor's race in that a tea party type named Dan Patrick may be the nominee. Patrick is a really nasty person and Leticia Van de Putte is a strong candidate. See http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/01/01/wendy-davis-texas-governor-ticket/4281631/

As the OP noted, demographics are the key to this race.