2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSt. Norbert College/WI Public Radio Poll: Obama: 49% Mittens: 43%
If the presidential election were held today, for whom would you be more likely to vote: (names rotated)
Barack Obama .............................................................. 49%
Mitt Romney ................................................................ 43%
Other (VOL) ................................................................ 4%
Probably Would Not Vote (VOL) ............................... 1%
Not Sure ................................................................ 3%
Additionally Obama has a 54% approval rating in the state, up 12 full points since the Fall of 2010.
Fueling Obama's comeback:
Compared to a year ago, do you think the national economy has gotten better, stayed the same, or
gotten worse?
Better ................................................................ 42%
Same ................................................................ 35%
Worse ................................................................ 22%
Not Sure ................................................................ 2%
MR. PRESIDENT, COULD YOU COME AND CAMPAIGN FOR TOM BARRETT IN THE RECALL ELECTION, PLEASE!!
http://www.snc.edu/sri/docs/2012/201205_recallelection.pdf
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)in fact bring Bill Clinton in the last day before the recall
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Scuba
(53,475 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)the numbers really aren't that much different. Instead of being down six points as in Marquette, Barrett is down by five in this poll. Still as I pointed out in another thread the final poll of St. Norbert College in 2010 had Walker up by 9, and in the end Barrett lost by 5, which indicates undecideds went towards Barrett and the end. Let's hope that happens again this time and that Dems show up to vote in huge numbers. Another problem, though, is college students. A lot of students signed those recall petitions and now a lot of them are on summer vacation and may be out of state or in other parts of the state. Will they vote?
mvd
(65,180 posts)We could win without WI, but a loss there could mean bad news for other states.
I'm predicting a Barrett come from behind victory. Notice that in the governor poll, it has more Walker voters than what was representative in the last election. Some more DNC money, union enthusiasm, and visits from prominent Democrats would all help.