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Grown2Hate

(2,011 posts)
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 10:36 PM Jun 2012

Ok, HOW can the exit polls be SOOO wrong?

I mean, maybe this lead won't hold up, but it's been CONSISTENTLY over 15 percentage points since EARLY on, and we're at nearly 60% of precincts reporting. I thought the exit polls had is at 50/50, or with Walker by 4% at the MOST? What in the FLYING fuck? Going to have to FIGHT our ASSES OFF in November, people.

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Ok, HOW can the exit polls be SOOO wrong? (Original Post) Grown2Hate Jun 2012 OP
I still say the lead won't hold up as well. TheWraith Jun 2012 #1
HONEY, THIS IS BULLSHIT! madashelltoo Jun 2012 #2
I still think Rove and the GOP used the fact that Republicans are reluctant responders to make applegrove Jun 2012 #3
The exit polls weren't bought and paid for. eppur_se_muova Jun 2012 #4
it appears the turnout was huge..... for Walker.. IamK Jun 2012 #5
They won't be off that much when all is said and done. Mr.Turnip Jun 2012 #6

TheWraith

(24,331 posts)
1. I still say the lead won't hold up as well.
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 10:39 PM
Jun 2012

However, there is a tendency for the exit polls to understate Republican strength for the simple reason of Republicans refusing to answer them. Mostly out of paranoia and sheer stubbornness.

My personal guess is that this will end up Walker by 7 or 8 once everything's done.

applegrove

(118,642 posts)
3. I still think Rove and the GOP used the fact that Republicans are reluctant responders to make
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 10:40 PM
Jun 2012

the democrats look good for a win in 2004, slowing down the democrats from going to the polls and lighting a fire under the Republicans on that day. Perhaps they were getting supporters to lie to exit pollsters today in an attempt to do the same thing. Except that news organizations will not touch exit polls with a ten foot pole till the polls close.

 

IamK

(956 posts)
5. it appears the turnout was huge..... for Walker..
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 10:44 PM
Jun 2012

Walker is beating his last election results in every county....

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)
6. They won't be off that much when all is said and done.
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 10:47 PM
Jun 2012

Walker will win, we can't overcome the current deficit but it will tighten quite a lot, the vast majority of results right now are rural and suburban.

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