2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew poll shows Obama leading young voters 50-37
A new poll by the Garfield Institute for Public Leadership at Hiram College released its most recent poll in its ongoing Listening to Young Voters initiative. They polled voters ages 18-29
http://drjasonjohnson.com/2012/06/22/cleveland-plain-dealer-jason-johnson-discusses-hiram-college-listening-to-young-voters-poll/
President
Obama 50
Romney 37
Party Favorability
Democratic Party 56 fav, 32 unfav
Republican Party 42 fav, 45 unfav
Best understands concerns of people under 30
Democrats 66
Republicans 19
we already know young voters are not going to turnout in the same numbers
as 2008-- I don't see this as earth shattering good news.
monmouth
(21,078 posts)it's earth shattering?
FailureToCommunicate
(14,014 posts)(only) 80 posts in over 10 years on DU?
That's gotta be a record.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)but maybe he likes to read instead.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)So... yes it is good news.
femmocrat
(28,394 posts)Those who haven't been dis-enfranchised, that is!
I can't understand why any young person would support romney. He even scares me!
EmeraldCityGrl
(4,310 posts)they're not scared enough. They've never lived thru a political gut
blow like in 2000 and then lived with the consequences. They've
grown up with a country at war that has barely touched their lives.
They don't equate the fucked up economy with the wars and tax cuts
for the rich. How differently they would feel if there was a draft to
contend with.
I have two twenty year olds and between them and their friends I'm
worried there is an apathy settling in. Locally they get involved, but
they think national politics is a rigged game and while they are convinced
Obama will win, many of them barely have the campaign on their radar.
femmocrat
(28,394 posts)My son is older than that and refuses to vote. He is just disgusted with all of it. He lives in VA and I begged him to vote against McDonnell, but he wouldn't listen.
We just have to keep trying!
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)Four age groups: 1829; 3044; 4564; 65 and over. The first and last nationally disagreewith the latter voting Republican and the former Democratic on a national level. The in-between groups tend to be the most decisive factor. This is attributed to those two middle groups ending up representing over 50 percent, and on the way to 55 percent, of all votes cast. The youngest and oldest group are lucky to combine for 45 percent.
It's constantly being stated the young won't show. But the old aren't anymore of a guarantee. Few exceptions come along. The youngest group made the difference for Barack Obama having won pickups with both Indiana and North Carolina in 2008. The oldest group was pivotal to Bill Clinton winning over Florida in 1992.
In most cases, nationally, a presidential winner will carry three of the four age groups. And, for a given presidential election, it's the two in-betweens who actually swing it decisively to one party or the other.
treestar
(82,383 posts)Much more numerous groups.