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Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 05:39 AM Jul 2012

LIST of links of Senate and Presidential Forecasts

Senate: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2012#Latest_predictions
(Compilation/Chart of several political websites)


Presidential:

Five Thirty Eight: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
(on the right side of the page)

Electoral-Vote: http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Election Projection: http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php

270 to Win: http://www.270towin.com/

Cook Political: (List of maps) http://cookpolitical.com/node/10543
July 2nd: http://cookpolitical.com/charts/president/ev_scorecard_2012-07-02_16-11-49.php

Frontloading HQ: http://frontloading.blogspot.com/
(I do not see a 2012 forecast map there 'yet')

Real Clear Politics: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

CNN: http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/ecalculator#?battleground

Huffington Post: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map?hw

And one of the best ones...
DemConWatch: http://www.demconwatchblog.com/
(Note: when DCW starts posting presidential forecast compilations there will be a link at the top left side of the page)


p.s. If you find this OP helpful please give it a kick




5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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LIST of links of Senate and Presidential Forecasts (Original Post) Tx4obama Jul 2012 OP
Some you may want to add ... 66 dmhlt Jul 2012 #1
k&r, We need a lot more LINK posts like yours. Thank you. ProgressiveEconomist Jul 2012 #2
Good to have all those links in one place flamingdem Jul 2012 #3
K&R! Thanks so much! Rhiannon12866 Jul 2012 #4
Similarity of Projections Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #5

66 dmhlt

(1,941 posts)
1. Some you may want to add ...
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 08:59 AM
Jul 2012

Talking Point Memo just released their new "Poll Tracker" - so not really a Electoral Vote tally, but a state-by-state polling list:
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/

Dave Leip's been pretty accurate in the past. BUT it's a bit confusing because he assigns BLUE to Repubicans, and RED to DEMOCRATS
http://www.uselectionatlas.org/

And Princeton U. just started a new one - not much detail, but a running tab:
http://election.princeton.edu/

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)
5. Similarity of Projections
Fri Jul 13, 2012, 01:53 AM
Jul 2012

Almost all the Electoral College projections are basically the same, whether it's Huffington Post, CNN, New York Times, etc.

Eg. they almost all say that Obama is favored in NM, NV, CO, PA etc., Romney is favored in IN, NC, MO etc., and that states like FL, OH etc are tossups.

They all seem to give Obama a 50-70 vote EV lead.

The one that gives Obama the biggest EV win at the moment appears to be Princeton:

Obama: 312

Romney: 226

http://election.princeton.edu/

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