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aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 10:57 AM Jul 2012

New Poll. Obama +14 in Michigan, Obama +6 in Pennsylvania


Michigan is not a battleground state. PA is holding firm.


Michigan 53/39
Pennsylvania 49/43


Additional Findings:

There are a couple common themes driving Obama's success in these states. The biggest is his competitiveness with white voters. He actually leads 48-44 with them in Michigan, and he just narrowly trails 46-45 with them in Pennsylvania. Given the healthy sized African American populations in both those states anything close to a split with white voters will give Obama an easy victory. Obama is also benefiting from a huge lead with women in both states, 59-33 in Michigan and 54-37 in Pennsylvania, which helps him offset a closer race with men. And he has the upper hand with independents in both states, 50-37 in Michigan and 46-39 in Pennsylvania.


More at link:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/07/obama-leads-in-michigan-and-pennsylvania.html
15 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
1. Now we see why Obama isn't spending $$ in Michigan.
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 10:59 AM
Jul 2012

The media always wants to make Michigan a 'swing state' but this is the latest evidence that it will be democratic in November. PA is ok, wish it were higher, but not bad.

catbyte

(34,376 posts)
10. I knew damn well Romney was going to tank
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:20 AM
Jul 2012

here in Michigan. Even Republicans loathe him. Give it up, Mitt. At least one of your "home" states is rejecting you.



Diane
Anishinaabe in MI & mom to Taz, Nigel, and new baby brother Sammy, members of Dogs Against Romney, Cat Division
"Dogs Aren’t Luggage--HISS!”

greatauntoftriplets

(175,733 posts)
3. The Michigan numbers have to be very difficult for Rmoney...
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:00 AM
Jul 2012

since it's the state where he was born.

Bwa ha ha ha!!!

catbyte

(34,376 posts)
12. Meh. The Detroit News is a conservative rag
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:22 AM
Jul 2012

I'm not surprised they're spinning like a top trying to make Romney look less pathetic.

Diane
Anishinaabe in MI & mom to Taz, Nigel, and new baby brother Sammy, members of Dogs Against Romney, Cat Division
"Dogs Aren’t Luggage--HISS!”

demosincebirth

(12,536 posts)
14. They must have just polled republicans on that one. No way, after he saved thousand , or rather
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:27 AM
Jul 2012

a whole industry in Michigan.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
5. However, per PPP, Condi Rice as Romney VP could be a game changer:
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:05 AM
Jul 2012

One thing that could be a huge game changer in both of these states? Mitt Romney selecting Condoleezza Rice as his running mate. She would give him a 6 point advantage both places, pulling him into a tie in Pennsylvania at 45-45 and narrowing the gap in Michigan to 50/42. Rice is a very unusually popular political figure. In Pennsylvania her favorability rating is 60/27 and in Michigan it's 56/28. She's even seen favorably by Democrats- 47/38 in Pennsylvania and 41/40 in Michigan- in both states. Her selection has the potential to be a game changer.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/

But still have a hard time thinking that Mitt, who has problems with the hard right would put a pro-choice African-American woman on the ticket--even if she is a war hawk.

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
7. It doesn't matter. The GOP would never nominate Condi.
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:08 AM
Jul 2012

I don't know why its included in the polling. Its not going to happen.

longship

(40,416 posts)
9. You may be right
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:19 AM
Jul 2012

But it is likely that she wouldn't accept it.

Rmoney is going to be stuck with a mate that's to his right, to prop up the base.

 

Daniel537

(1,560 posts)
15. Talk about amnesia.
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 02:31 PM
Jul 2012

Condi was one of the top neo-cons during the W years. Don't know what they're smoking up there.

longship

(40,416 posts)
11. Hooray Michigan above the magic 50%
Wed Jul 25, 2012, 11:22 AM
Jul 2012

And +14, to boot.

Rmoney's screwed in his home state.
Maybe he's just screwed all around.

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