2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP poll: Obama opens huge lead in Michigan
14% ahead of his opponent Mitt Romney in the state.
This poll contradicts a separate Michigan poll conducted by Mitchell Research, a company owned by Republican staffer Steve Mitchell, which found Romney to be ahead by 1%.
Although the PPP is among registered voters, this does not translate to anywhere near 1% among LV, suggesting that one of these pollsters is unintentionally or deliberately publishing crappy polls.
To complicate matters, Rasmussen's MI poll released yesterday shows a result that is roughly in the middle of these two polls (Obama +6). It seems to me that Obama has a moderate-big lead and Steve Mitchell should be dismissed as a clown.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/07/ppp-obama-up-in-michigan-pennsylvania-130058.html
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Not going to get much business by stuffing the poll Steve.
When campaigns hire you they actually need the real numbers not the numbers you wish they had.
PPP's accuracy has been among the top.
Boy I hope that Romney wastes a lot of money in MI because of this poll.
n2doc
(47,953 posts)He's going to need every bit he can get in any state with a Repub running things. Gotta make the lead too big to steal.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Mitchel is a moron!!
boxman15
(1,033 posts)Last night, the Mitchell poll showing Romney up 1 was the lead story and they dissected like it was the biggest news ever. In fact, when the reporter said "This looks like it's going to be a close race all the way to November," the anchor said "And the networks love it!" It made me sick. I know he was joking, but it's true.
Today, the PPP poll has Obama up huge and the Rassmussen poll has Obama up by a solid margin. Not a peep on the news. I'd bet $10,000 that it doesn't show up in the papers either, but the Mitchell poll will be all over the place again.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)anyway it wont matter if these numbers are real.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)I have thought that Michigan is no where near as close as some polls were putting it.