2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSwing States poll: Romney and Obama tied; Gingrich trails
Source: USA Today
By Susan Page, USA TODAY
Updated 2h 51m ago
WASHINGTON Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney essentially ties Barack Obama in the nation's top dozen battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Swing States survey finds, while rival Newt Gingrich now trails the president by a decisive 14 percentage points.
That reflects a significant decline by the former House speaker since early December, when he led Obama by three points.
The poll of the states likely to determine the outcome of November's election addresses the electability argument that has driven many Republican voters: Which GOP contender has the best chance of denying Obama a second term?
In a head-to-head race, Romney leads Obama by a statistically insignificant percentage point, 48%-47%, the survey finds. Romney's support hasn't wavered from his standing in early December, while Obama's standing against him has risen by four percentage points.
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Read more: http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-01-27/swing-states-poll/52871890/1
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)would beat Romney by 9 points in Florida how is that a tie Gallup is so full of shit.Plus these polls don't mean shit anyway I'm sticking to the Lichtman keys to the White House
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)It's pointless to poll a collective group of states and not do it individually and since we don't know what his numbers are like in those specific states, what's the point - since Obama doesn't need to win every swing state to win the election?
Moreover, the MOE is extremely high (a MOE of five is not good) for this poll. It just doesn't make sense to me to poll a group of states and clump the results together instead of reporting the head-to-head in each state. For all we know, Obama could be up in enough states to lock down an electoral victory. Or maybe it's Romney - either way, we don't know!
Just pointless. haha