Romney gets one-point bounce...

[Drunken Irishman]

Last edited Tue Sep 4, 2012, 05:18 PM - Edit history (1)

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/09/04/cnn-poll-did-romney-get-a-convention-bounce/?on.cnn=1



That bounce is within the MOE, so, it could just be noise more than anything.

[WI_DEM]

1. And now it's our convention

[Marsala]

2. That's a tiny - and probably accurate - percentage of undecided / 3rd party voters

Obama will probably end up winning 50.5% to 48.5% in the popular vote or something.

[Jennicut]

3. I take this as statistical noise

Romney got nothing out of the RNC because it was a total mess. Remember, McCain got about a 5 point bounce out of his convention.

[TroyD]

4. I find it amusing that it's on 'CNN Breaking News'

https://twitter.com/cnnbrk/status/243077312340443136

[Proud Public Servant]

5. I read somewhere today

That the only two postwar candidates to unseat sitting presidents -- Reagan and Clinton -- both got 20+% initial convention bounces. Poor Mitt...

[woolldog]

6. Actually the CNN poll has Obama 48 Romney 48

You're posting incorrect information.

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/09/04/rel9a.pdf

[TroyD]

8. I think the 1-point bounce refers to . . .

the fact that Mitt was behind Obama by 1 point before the Convention and has now broken even in CNN's poll. It doesn't mean Romney is +1.

[woolldog]

9. The title of the thread says

Obama leads 49-47. That is wrong

[TroyD]

10. Perhaps that refers to Obama's lead among Registered Voters?

I think this CNN poll shows that Obama and Romney are tied among Likely Voters but that Obama is ahead among Registered Voters, yes?

[woolldog]

13. His lead among registered voters

is something like 53 to forty something. Read the link I posted in this thread; it has those numbers. the op actually corrected the misleading thread title...

You bring up an important point I'd like to see discussed more, which is Obama has a huge lead among registered voters but the lead shrinks to nothing when you look a t likely voters. This is really really important and evidence of a huge enthusiasm gap, which is reminisce t of 2010. Question is how to get those voters to the polls?

[LiberalFighter]

15. Well if it is incorrect posting of CNN

then the posting of it is probably the correct info.

[woolldog]

16. The OP finally edited out the incorrect info.

Thanks for your concern.

[Cha]

7. Then there's this Gallup poll that says romneybot

gets..

Gallup: No bounce for Romney post-GOP convention

http://www.democraticunderground.com/125185518

[Thrill]

11. Not really surprised. He's getting the Obama hater

votes. There just isn't much movement for him to get.

[TroyD]

12. Obama at 50% approval in CNN poll

Anyone notice that?

[Kteachums]

14. Wait till after the convention!

Folks are just now getting election minded. People say we don't have the same election as in "08" but, Obama still draws the crowds and people love him. We just need to be noisier then the Uglicans. This election is going to be even bigger. Obama will win many votes.