2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver has Obama at 76.3 percent now
almost a 6 point climb since Aug. 29
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)...designed to figure in convention bounces, and owes a lot to Rmoney's relatively tepid one. In the "now-cast" which doesn't factor bounce expectations in, Obama's re-election odds have dropped a couple of points, to 69%, which, I assume, would be where it would stand if Obama gets no convention bounce whatsoever -- still more than 2:1 odds, but a little less gaudy than the top-line numbers.
jonthebru
(1,034 posts)that those who are going to vote for Rmoney are already going to vote for Rmoney. There really aren't many new voters to tap...
I'm personally hoping for a really kick ass landslide.
Remember though, certain states with their Corporatist governors are disenfranchising thousands of voters. If they can keep even a small percentage away from the polls however it can be done and they could win that state. Scary shit for sure.
Americans must prove to these clowns that our Presidency can't be purchased with lies.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)to eek out a win, given
1) Citizens United,
2) Computerized voting controlled by GOP private corporations,
3) Massive voter suppression (show me your voting papers or fuck off)
But I do believe it is possible and it WILL happen.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)There is sure to be shenanigans in some states which will affect the outcome.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)That sounds like the one I posted from Nate Silver last night.
Has he updated it tonight, or did it stay the same?
Skeptical George
(26 posts)An increase of 10.4 since August 29.