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Nate Silver has Obama at 76.3 percent now (Original Post) Adenoid_Hynkel Sep 2012 OP
Once again, that's based on the special formulas... regnaD kciN Sep 2012 #1
The really sad thing for the right is... jonthebru Sep 2012 #2
"a really kick ass landslide" is exactly what it is going to take 99th_Monkey Sep 2012 #4
I agree, the idea of a landslide is a little far-fetched davidpdx Sep 2012 #5
Is that last night's percentage? TroyD Sep 2012 #3
Silver has Obama winning 310.8 Electoral Votes as of Yesterday Skeptical George Sep 2012 #6

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
1. Once again, that's based on the special formulas...
Thu Sep 6, 2012, 02:14 AM
Sep 2012

...designed to figure in convention bounces, and owes a lot to Rmoney's relatively tepid one. In the "now-cast" which doesn't factor bounce expectations in, Obama's re-election odds have dropped a couple of points, to 69%, which, I assume, would be where it would stand if Obama gets no convention bounce whatsoever -- still more than 2:1 odds, but a little less gaudy than the top-line numbers.

jonthebru

(1,034 posts)
2. The really sad thing for the right is...
Thu Sep 6, 2012, 02:23 AM
Sep 2012

that those who are going to vote for Rmoney are already going to vote for Rmoney. There really aren't many new voters to tap...
I'm personally hoping for a really kick ass landslide.
Remember though, certain states with their Corporatist governors are disenfranchising thousands of voters. If they can keep even a small percentage away from the polls however it can be done and they could win that state. Scary shit for sure.
Americans must prove to these clowns that our Presidency can't be purchased with lies.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
4. "a really kick ass landslide" is exactly what it is going to take
Thu Sep 6, 2012, 04:46 AM
Sep 2012

to eek out a win, given
1) Citizens United,
2) Computerized voting controlled by GOP private corporations,
3) Massive voter suppression (show me your voting papers or fuck off)

But I do believe it is possible and it WILL happen.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
5. I agree, the idea of a landslide is a little far-fetched
Thu Sep 6, 2012, 05:25 AM
Sep 2012

There is sure to be shenanigans in some states which will affect the outcome.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
3. Is that last night's percentage?
Thu Sep 6, 2012, 02:26 AM
Sep 2012

That sounds like the one I posted from Nate Silver last night.

Has he updated it tonight, or did it stay the same?

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