Rasmussen: McCaskill +6 in MISSOURI

[TroyD]

MISSOURI - U.S. SENATE [McCaskill +6]

Rasmussen Reports

McCaskill (D) - 49

Akin (R) - 43

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/missouri/election_2012_missouri_senate

[flamingdem]

1. Oh that's some great news

[Jennicut]

2. Hmmm, is that to get him to drop out and have a write in Repub?

I really never trust Rasmussen. They make me so cynical.

[grantcart]

3. LOL the drop out deadline is approaching (printing of ballots) and the Republicans are trying to

push him out.

[TroyD]

4. It's actually a decrease from last month . . .

Rasmussen had McCaskill up +10 last month, so that's probably when they were trying to pressure Akin to get out. So I think Rasmussen has probably given up on trying to get him out.

This figure actually shows a 'tightening' of the race, so Akin will probably be encouraged to stay in and think he can make it.

[MADem]

5. Really? Didn't other polls have them in a dead heat?

I thought McCaskill was in danger, but I haven't been following that race closely at all.

[TroyD]

7. Polls since the Rape controversy have leaned McCaskill

Other than the +1 Akin poll by PPP early on in the Rape interview aftermath, most polls have shown McCaskill opening up a lead on Akin.

There was a Post-Dispatch poll a couple of weeks ago that had McCaskill ahead by 7, I believe. I think I posted it here at the time.

[alp227]

6. Hey Akin! Nah nah nah nah, hey hey, GOOD BYE!

[DavidL]

8. Since it's Rasmussen, she's probably 10 points

ahead.

And gaining after today, when some moderate Republicans decide Romney or any Republican is too dangerous and too stupid.

[CobaltBlue]

9. Missouri women

I want President Obama to flip the state of Missouri into his 2012 re-election column.

Claire McCaskill, a Democratic pickup who unseated then-Republican incumbent Jim Talent in 2006, won her U.S. Senate seat by over 2 points two years prior to Obama missing flipping the state by a margin of R+0.13. So, she performed about three points better than Obama.

Gender breakdown in 2008 Missouri: men gave Obama 48% and women voted for him with 50%. The men were just one percent under his national percentage of 49%. The women underperformed by 6% what turned out for Obama to be 56% of women nationwide.

So, the Missouri women should either vote in better numbers for Obama, and to deliver him the state, or they should turn in their gender cards and let men (including Todd Akin) rule their bodies (and minds) permanently.

[TroyD]

10. But . . .

She performed well in 2006 because the Republicans were hated that year because of the incompetence and disaster of the Bush Administration, and this led to them performing badly in 2008 as well.

But they recovered in 2010, and while they are down from their 2010 heights now that we are in 2012, McCaskill herself now has low approval ratings. Obama, by contrast, has good approval ratings and is liked by most people.

Let's not forget that if it wasn't for the bizarre Todd Akin, McCaskill would probably be losing this race. So we have a lot of dynamics at work here.