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cannabis_flower

(3,764 posts)
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:31 PM Feb 2016

How are they going to spin this?

I know the vote isn't all in, but if this holds, how are they going to spin this?

Bernie is winning across a wide range of demographic groups - in fact almost every demographic group except over 65 and income over $200,000.

Even worse, Bernie won non-white.

http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/nh/Dem

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vdogg

(1,384 posts)
4. Just as northern whites are different from southern whites
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:42 PM
Feb 2016

Northern blacks (in particular northeastern blacks) are different from southern blacks (I'm sure this is the case for other minorities as well). We have our cultural differences too. What flies in New Hampshire won't get you too far in South Carolina (for either race). Let's see how some of the southern states vote before we start writing her obituary. This process has a long way to go.

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
2. Libertarian mindset won out over race, is how that is being spun.
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:35 PM
Feb 2016

Essentially their spin is that POC up there are different than in the south and they are a tiny percent of the states population. Also, the spin is that, if she loses by single digits she will have "won".

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
3. Clinton leading among non-whites by 1%.
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:38 PM
Feb 2016

Still, it kills the PoC won't vote for Sanders myth.
Sanders leading among women 55-44.
This is a rout. Camp Weathervane can spin the bearings off, but this is a devastating loss.

cannabis_flower

(3,764 posts)
6. If South Carolina is not a route
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:45 PM
Feb 2016

for Hillary, it might call into question her electability! Yah think!

I mean, if she can't win in a southern state with a large black population, where can she win?

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
9. Sanders is slowly closing the gap in SC.
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:49 PM
Feb 2016

I think Clinton will win by a safe margin, but it will just be a bump in the road for Sanders not a Clinton firewall.

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
10. I heard a blurb that the POC who came out to vote for him in NH were the youth.
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:50 PM
Feb 2016

If that holds across other states, he has a good chance in Nevada and South Carolina, which are up next.

If someone comes across a break down of the demographics, please post a link to them.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
11. I saw a graph earlier showing strong support for Sanders among black youth.
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:56 PM
Feb 2016

It dropped off quickly for older black age groups. On the plus side, there is time for the youngsters to convince their parents, and Bernie generates such excitement among youth that turnout is not a problem.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
12. Obama won because black youth came out to vote for him.
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:59 PM
Feb 2016

Those young people have learned the power they wield in the elections. They will come out and I would guess they are more up on their politics than most people. They are the key.

SC may be different than NH but Bernie has a great organization there and he has a good message. I have a lot of hope that SC will rise to the challenge.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
8. Why is everyone lumped into "non white" in this poll?
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:47 PM
Feb 2016

All the cross tabs that break it down by race say "n/a". Is this a common practice?

TTUBatfan2008

(3,623 posts)
16. There is no spin...
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 02:48 AM
Feb 2016

She was ahead by 40-50 less than a year ago and had 93% of the endorsements from Democratic politicians in New Hampshire. 38% of the vote in that circumstance is a disaster, no way around it.

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