Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumHow are they going to spin this?
I know the vote isn't all in, but if this holds, how are they going to spin this?
Bernie is winning across a wide range of demographic groups - in fact almost every demographic group except over 65 and income over $200,000.
Even worse, Bernie won non-white.
http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/nh/Dem
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Though 1% isn't much of a firewall.
vdogg
(1,384 posts)Northern blacks (in particular northeastern blacks) are different from southern blacks (I'm sure this is the case for other minorities as well). We have our cultural differences too. What flies in New Hampshire won't get you too far in South Carolina (for either race). Let's see how some of the southern states vote before we start writing her obituary. This process has a long way to go.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)Essentially their spin is that POC up there are different than in the south and they are a tiny percent of the states population. Also, the spin is that, if she loses by single digits she will have "won".
vdogg
(1,384 posts)Or do you assume we are just all the same across all regions?
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Still, it kills the PoC won't vote for Sanders myth.
Sanders leading among women 55-44.
This is a rout. Camp Weathervane can spin the bearings off, but this is a devastating loss.
cannabis_flower
(3,764 posts)for Hillary, it might call into question her electability! Yah think!
I mean, if she can't win in a southern state with a large black population, where can she win?
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)I think Clinton will win by a safe margin, but it will just be a bump in the road for Sanders not a Clinton firewall.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)If that holds across other states, he has a good chance in Nevada and South Carolina, which are up next.
If someone comes across a break down of the demographics, please post a link to them.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)It dropped off quickly for older black age groups. On the plus side, there is time for the youngsters to convince their parents, and Bernie generates such excitement among youth that turnout is not a problem.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)Those young people have learned the power they wield in the elections. They will come out and I would guess they are more up on their politics than most people. They are the key.
SC may be different than NH but Bernie has a great organization there and he has a good message. I have a lot of hope that SC will rise to the challenge.
vdogg
(1,384 posts)All the cross tabs that break it down by race say "n/a". Is this a common practice?
jwirr
(39,215 posts)Things are looking up.
Ok, I'll give you that one.
Binkie The Clown
(7,911 posts)TTUBatfan2008
(3,623 posts)She was ahead by 40-50 less than a year ago and had 93% of the endorsements from Democratic politicians in New Hampshire. 38% of the vote in that circumstance is a disaster, no way around it.